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We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

An important problem in physics concerns the analysis of audio time series generated by transduced acoustic phenomena. Here, we develop a new method to quantify the scaling properties of the local variance of nonstationary time series. We…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Heather D. Jennings , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , A. M. Martins , P. C. da Silva , G. M. Viswanathan

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

Dynamic time warping constitutes a major tool for analyzing time series. In particular, computing a mean series of a given sample of series in dynamic time warping spaces (by minimizing the Fr\'echet function) is a challenging computational…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-06-01 Markus Brill , Till Fluschnik , Vincent Froese , Brijnesh Jain , Rolf Niedermeier , David Schultz

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

In this work, we investigate scale invariance in the temporal evolution and chaotic regime of discrete dynamical systems. By exploiting the close interrelation between scaling and inversion transformations, we formulate scale symmetry in…

There exist several methods developed for the canonical change point problem of detecting multiple mean shifts, which search for changes over sections of the data at multiple scales. In such methods, estimation of the noise level is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

We investigate the scaling form of appropriate time-scales extracted from time-dependent correlation functions in rotating, turbulent flows. In particular, we obtain precise estimates of the dynamic exponents $z_p$, associated with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-14 Shailendra K. Rathor , Sagar Chakraborty , Samriddhi Sankar Ray

We propose a novel framework for learning time-varying graphs from spatiotemporal measurements. Given an appropriate prior on the temporal behavior of signals, our proposed method can estimate time-varying graphs from a small number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Haruki Yokota , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Antonio Ortega

We address the curse of dimensionality in dynamic covariance estimation by modeling the underlying co-volatility dynamics of a time series vector through latent time-varying stochastic factors. The use of a global-local shrinkage prior for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner

The variability of temporal (or spatial) fluctuations of any variable is represented in conventional statistical theory by the relative dispersion equal to the standard deviation divided by the mean . The Relative Dispersion decreases with…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 A. M. Selvam , Suvarna Fadnavis , S. U. Athale

We propose a novel framework for modeling time-varying persistence in economic time series, allowing for smoothly evolving heterogeneity in shock dynamics. We leverage localized regression techniques to flexibly identify changes in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

We have revisited the non-conserved (or model A) critical dynamics of the two-dimensional Ising model through numerical simulations of its lattice and continuum formulations --Glauber dynamics and the timedependent Ginzburg-Landau (TDGL)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-02 Héctor Vaquero del Pino , Rodolfo Cuerno

Fluctuation scaling has been observed universally in a wide variety of phenomena. In time series that describe sequences of events, fluctuation scaling is expressed as power function relationships between the mean and variance of either…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-03 Shinsuke Koyama , Ryota Kobayashi

We study the dynamics of elastic interfaces-membranes-immersed in thermally excited fluids. The work contains three components: the development of a numerical method, a purely theoretical approach, and numerical simulation. In developing a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Davide Stelitano , Daniel H. Rothman

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In this article we discuss several aspects of the stochastic dynamics of spin models. The paper has two independent parts. Firstly, we explore a few properties of the multi-point correlations and responses of generic systems evolving in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Guilhem Semerjian , Leticia F. Cugliandolo , Andrea Montanari

An exact solution is introduced for one dimensional space-fractional Edwards-Wilkinson equation. It is shown that the roughness obeys the Family-Viscek dynamic scaling form and the scaling exponents is derived. It is seen that the scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-29 Reza Torabi

As a highly expressive generative model, diffusion models have demonstrated exceptional success across various domains, including image generation, natural language processing, and combinatorial optimization. However, as data distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Myunsoo Kim , Donghyeon Ki , Seong-Woong Shim , Byung-Jun Lee