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Mutations can arise from the chance misincorporation of nucleotides during DNA replication or from DNA lesions that are not repaired correctly. We introduce a model that relates the source of mutations to their accumulation with cell…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-27 Ziyue Gao , Minyoung J. Wyman , Guy Sella , Molly Przeworski

Cancer progression is an evolutionary process that is driven by mutation and selection in a population of tumor cells. We discuss mathematical models of cancer progression, starting from traditional multistage theory. Each stage is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-31 Moritz Gerstung , Niko Beerenwinkel

The appearance of cancer in a tissue is thought to be the result of two or more successive mutations. We propose a stochastic model that allows for an exact computation of the distribution of the waiting time for a second mutation. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Mutation-induced drug resistance in cancer often causes the failure of therapies and cancer recurrence, despite an initial tumor reduction. The timing of such cancer recurrence is governed by a balance between several factors such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Jasmine Foo , Kevin Leder

The meaning of public messages such as "One in x people gets cancer" or "One in y people gets cancer by age z" can be improved. One assumption commonly invoked is that there is no other cause of death, a confusing assumption. We develop a…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-11 Ka C. Chan , Ruth F. G. Williams , Christopher T. Lenard , Terence M. Mills

Tumor recurrence, driven by the evolution of drug resistance is a major barrier to therapeutic success in cancer. Resistance is often caused by genetic alterations such as point mutation, which refers to the modification of a single genomic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-23 Aaron Li , Danika Kibby , Jasmine Foo

Cancer has been characterized as a constellation of hundreds of diseases differing in underlying mutations and depending on cellular environments. Carcinogenesis as a stochastic physical process has been studied for over sixty years, but…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-02 Carson C. Chow , Yanjun Li , Vipul Periwal

Cancer results from genetic alterations that disturb the normal cooperative behavior of cells. Recent high-throughput genomic studies of cancer cells have shown that the mutational landscape of cancer is complex and that individual cancers…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-10 Niko Beerenwinkel , Tibor Antal , David Dingli , Arne Traulsen , Kenneth W. Kinzler , Victor E. Velculescu , Bert Vogelstein , Martin A. Nowak

Most human tumors result from the accumulation of multiple genetic and epigenetic alterations in a single cell. Mutations that confer a fitness advantage to the cell are known as driver mutations and are causally related to tumorigenesis.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-15 Rick Durrett , Jasmine Foo , Kevin Leder , John Mayberry , Franziska Michor

Major efforts to sequence cancer genomes are now occurring throughout the world. Though the emerging data from these studies are illuminating, their reconciliation with epidemiologic and clinical observations poses a major challenge. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-18 Ivana Bozic , Tibor Antal , Hisashi Ohtsuki , Hannah Carter , Dewey Kim , Sining Chen , Rachel Karchin , Kenneth W. Kinzler , Bert Vogelstein , Martin A. Nowak

Cancer is viewed as a multistep process whereby a normal cell is transformed into a cancer cell through the acquisition of mutations. We reduce the complexities of cancer progression to a simple set of underlying rules that govern the…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Sabrina L. Spencer , Matthew J. Berryman , Jose A. Garcia , Derek Abbott

As cancer advances, cells often spread from the primary tumor to other parts of the body and form metastases. This is the main cause of cancer related mortality. Here we investigate a conceptually simple model of metastasis formation where…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-05 Stefano Avanzini , Tibor Antal

An explicit solution for a general two-type birth-death branching process with one way mutation is presented. This continuous time process mimics the evolution of resistance to treatment, or the onset of an extra driver mutation during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-20 Tibor Antal , P. L. Krapivsky

Cancers are caused by the accumulation of genetic alterations. Since this accumulation takes time, the incidence of most cancers is thought to increase exponentially with age. However, careful measurements of the age-specific incidence…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-01 James P. Brody

Tumors are defined by their intense proliferation, but sometimes cancer cells turn senescent and stop replicating. In the stochastic cancer model in which all cells are tumorigenic, senescence is seen as the result of random mutations,…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-29 Caterina A. M. La Porta , Stefano Zapperi , James P. Sethna

Metastasis, the spread of cancer cells from a primary tumor to secondary location(s) in the human organism, is the ultimate cause of death for the majority of cancer patients. That is why, it is crucial to understand metastases evolution in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-24 Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova , Kaloyan Vitanov

There are numerous stochastic models for cancer risk for a given tissue. Many rely on the following two hypotheses. 1. There is a fixed probability that a given cell division will eventually lead to a cancerous cell. 2. Cell divisions are…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-20 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We present a continuous time model of maturation and survival, obtained as the limit of a compartmental evolution model when the number of compartments tends to infinity. We establish in particular an explicit formula for the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-13 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

Cancer development is a multistep process often starting with a single cell in which a number of epigenetic and genetic alterations have accumulated thus transforming it into a tumor cell. The progeny of such a single benign tumor cell…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-21 Steffen Lange , Richard Mogwitz , Denis Hünniger , Anja Voss-Böhme

Is cancer a disease that can be cured or a degenerative disease which comes predominantly with old age? We give an answer based on a two-dimensional representation of diseases. These two dimensions are defined as follows. In mortality…

Medical Physics · Physics 2016-09-28 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner
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