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Statistical modeling is a key component in the extraction of physical results from lattice field theory calculations. Although the general models used are often strongly motivated by physics, many model variations can frequently be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 William I. Jay , Ethan T. Neil

The problem tackled in this paper is the determination of sample size for a given level and power in the context of a simple linear regression model. At a technical level, the simple linear regression model is a five-parameter model. It is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Tianyuan Guan , M. Khorshed Alam , M. Bhaskara Rao

Tuning parameters are parameters involved in an estimating procedure for the purpose of reducing the risk of some other estimator. Examples include the degree of penalization in penalized regression and likelihood problems, as well as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Ingrid Dæhlen , Nils Lid Hjort , Ingrid Hobæk Haff

Conformal prediction, which makes no distributional assumptions about the data, has emerged as a powerful and reliable approach to uncertainty quantification in practical applications. The nonconformity measure used in conformal prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Yuko Kato , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog

Empirical economists are often deterred from the application of fixed effects binary choice models mainly for two reasons: the incidental parameter problem and the computational challenge even in moderately large panels. Using the example…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-27 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann

A very common task in data visualization is to plot many data points with some measured y-value as a function of fixed x-values. Uncertainties on the y-values are typically presented as vertical error bars that represent either a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Lukas Koch

While conformal predictors reap the benefits of rigorous statistical guarantees on their error frequency, the size of their corresponding prediction sets is critical to their practical utility. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Guneet S. Dhillon , George Deligiannidis , Tom Rainforth

The problem of error analysis is addressed in stages beginning with the case of uncorrelated parameters and proceeding to the Bayesian problem that takes into account all possible correlations when a great deal of prior information about…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 K. V. Klementev

Statistical models that include random effects are commonly used to analyze longitudinal and correlated data, often with strong and parametric assumptions about the random effects distribution. There is marked disagreement in the literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-11 Charles E. McCulloch , John M. Neuhaus

The paper presents a construction of a quantitative measure of variability for parameter estimates in the data fitting problem under interval uncertainty. It shows the degree of variability and ambiguity of the estimate, and the need for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Sergey P. Shary

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

Many major works in social science employ matching to make causal conclusions, but different matches on the same data may produce different treatment effect estimates, even when they achieve similar balance or minimize the same loss…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-23 Marco Morucci , Cynthia Rudin

Because of the mass gap, lattice QCD simulations exhibit stochastic locality: distant regions of the lattice fluctuate independently. There is a long history of exploiting this to increase statistics by obtaining multiple…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-12-01 Mattia Bruno , Marco Cè , Anthony Francis , Patrick Fritzsch , Jeremy R. Green , Maxwell T. Hansen , Antonio Rago

In this paper, a Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) model is studied when both low and high frequency variables are contaminated with measurement error. It is shown that the profile likelihood estimator becomes inconsistent in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Sukhbir Kaur , Sukhbir Singh , Kanchan Jain , Pooja Soni

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

Observables in particle physics and specifically in lattice QCD calculations are often extracted from fits. Standard $\chi^2$ tests require a reliable determination of the covariance matrix and its inverse from correlated and…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-03-21 Mattia Bruno , Rainer Sommer

We study the problem of parameter estimation for time-series possessing two, widely separated, characteristic time scales. The aim is to understand situations where it is desirable to fit a homogenized singlescale model to such multiscale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-11 G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

Quantitative computational models play an increasingly important role in modern biology. Such models typically involve many free parameters, and assigning their values is often a substantial obstacle to model development. Directly measuring…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-09 Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Joshua J. Waterfall , Fergal P. Casey , Kevin S. Brown , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

Periodic nonuniform sampling has been considered in literature as an effective approach to reduce the sampling rate far below the Nyquist rate for sparse spectrum multiband signals. In the presence of non-ideality the sampling parameters…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2010-10-12 Moslem Rashidi , Sara Mansouri

We say that two probabilities are similar at level $\alpha$ if they are contaminated versions (up to an $\alpha$ fraction) of the same common probability. We show how this model is related to minimal distances between sets of trimmed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-10 Pedro C. Álvarez-Esteban , Eustasio del Barrio , Juan A. Cuesta-Albertos , Carlos Matrán