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Quantile regression is a fundamental problem in statistical learning motivated by a need to quantify uncertainty in predictions, or to model a diverse population without being overly reductive. For instance, epidemiological forecasts, cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Rasool Fakoor , Taesup Kim , Jonas Mueller , Alexander J. Smola , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We study the implications of including many covariates in a first-step estimate entering a two-step estimation procedure. We find that a first order bias emerges when the number of \textit{included} covariates is "large" relative to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-27 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

In this paper, I proof that Importance Sampling estimates based on dependent sample sets are consistent under certain conditions. This can be used to reduce variance in Bayesian Models with factorizing likelihoods, using sample sets that…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-03 Ingmar Schuster

It is well known that individual parameters of strongly correlated predictor variables in a linear model cannot be accurately estimated by the least squares regression due to multicollinearity generated by such variables. Surprisingly, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Min Tsao

Fitting models to data is an important part of the practice of science. Advances in machine learning have made it possible to fit more -- and more complex -- models, but have also exacerbated a problem: when multiple models fit the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Alexandre René , André Longtin

There is an intimate connection between numerical upscaling of multiscale PDEs and scattered data approximation of heterogeneous functions: the coarse variables selected for deriving an upscaled equation (in the former) correspond to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Yifan Chen , Thomas Y. Hou

The error or variability of machine learning algorithms is often assessed by repeatedly re-fitting a model with different weighted versions of the observed data. The ubiquitous tools of cross-validation (CV) and the bootstrap are examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Ryan Giordano , Will Stephenson , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

The sensitivity parameter is widely used for quantifying fine tuning. However, examples show it fails to give correct results under certain circumstances. We argue that these problems only occur when calculating the sensitivity of a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-10-24 Su Yan

High-dimensional sparse modeling with censored survival data is of great practical importance, and several methods have been proposed for variable selection based on different models. However, the impact of biased sample caused by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 Li-Pang Chen

ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

Measurement error data or errors-in-variable data have been collected in many studies. Natural criterion functions are often unavailable for general functional measurement error models due to the lack of information on the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-24 Yanyuan Ma , Runze Li

Experimental studies often fail to appropriately account for the number of collected samples within a fixed time interval for functional responses. Data of this nature appropriately falls under an Infill Asymptotic domain that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Cory W. Natoli , Edward D. White , Beau A. Nunnally , Alex J. Gutman , Raymond R. Hill

In particle physics, as in many areas of science, parameter inference relies on simulations to bridge the gap between theory and experiment. Recent developments in simulation-based inference have boosted the sensitivity of analyses;…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-23 Ezequiel Alvarez , Sean Benevedes , Manuel Szewc , Jesse Thaler

Recent work has focused on the problem of conducting linear regression when the number of covariates is very large, potentially greater than the sample size. To facilitate this, one useful tool is to assume that the model can be well…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-21 Zhou Fang

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the containment and similarity between two sets using only random samples from each set, without relying on sketches of full sets. The study introduces a binomial model for predicting the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-22 Pranav Joshi

Regression with $\chi^2$ constructed from the covariance matrix should not be used for some combinations of covariance matrices and fitting functions. Using the technique for unsuitable combinations can amplify systematic errors. This…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-22 David Seibert

Propensity score methods are an important tool to help reduce confounding in non-experimental studies. Most propensity score methods assume that covariates are measured without error. However, covariates are often measured with error, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-08 Hwanhee Hong , David A. Aaby , Juned Siddique , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Bootstrap methods are increasingly accepted as one of the common approaches in constructing confidence intervals in bibliometric studies. Typical bootstrap methods assume that the statistical population is infinite. When the statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-17 Tina Nane , Kasper Kooijman

We present a general class of unbiased improved estimators for physical observables in lattice gauge theory computations which significantly reduces statistical errors at modest computational cost. The error reduction techniques, referred…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2013-11-13 Thomas Blum , Taku Izubuchi , Eigo Shintani

This paper studies the estimation of characteristic-based quantile factor models where the factor loadings are unknown functions of observed individual characteristics while the idiosyncratic error terms are subject to conditional quantile…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo , Haozi Pan
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