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Is a causal description of human wealth history conceivable? To investigate the matter we introduce a simple causal albeit strongly aggregated model, assuming that the observed wealth growth is mainly driven by human collaborative efforts…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-07-23 Paolo Sibani , Steen Rasmussen

We determine the distribution of size and growthrates of German business firms in 1987-1997. We find a log-normal size distribution. The distribution of growth rates has fat tails. It can be fitted to an exponential in a narrow central…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Johannes Voit

Analysis of the urban population fraction data for sixteen populous countries over the last fifty years reveals a universal increase in urbanization, exhibiting four qualitatively distinct temporal patterns: (i) continuously accelerating…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-06 Neeraj Pandey , Abhineet Agarwal , Raju Roychowdhury , Karmeshu , Parth Pratim Pandey

Empirical business cycle studies using cross-country data usually cannot achieve causal relationships while within-country studies mostly focus on the bust period. We provide the first causal investigation into the boom period of the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-08 Bo Li

Network analysis of inter-industry payment flows reveals structural economic relationships invisible to traditional bilateral measurement approaches, with significant implications for real-time economic monitoring. Analysing 532,346 UK…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Aditya Humnabadkar

Current business cycle theory is an application of the general equilibrium theory. This paper presents the business cycle model without using general equilibrium framework. We treat agents risk assessments as their coordinates x on economic…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-16 Victor Olkhov

The gross domestic product (GDP) is the most widely used indicator in macroeconomics and the main tool for measuring a country's economic output. Due to the diversity and complexity of the world economy, a wide range of models have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Tianyi Wang , Rodney Beard , John Hawkins , Rohitash Chandra

European singles charts are important part of the music industry responsible for creating popularity of songs. After modeling and exploring dynamics of global album sales in previous papers, we investigate patterns of hit singles popularity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-26 Andrzej Buda , Andrzej Jarynowski

Theory of complex networks proved successful in the description of a variety of static networks ranging from biology to computer and social sciences and to economics and finance. Here we use network models to describe the evolution of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-25 Zhen Zhu , Federica Cerina , Alessandro Chessa , Guido Caldarelli , Massimo Riccaboni

We use techniques from network science to study correlations in the foreign exchange (FX) market over the period 1991--2008. We consider an FX market network in which each node represents an exchange rate and each weighted edge represents a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Investment in research and development is a key factor in increasing countries' competitiveness. However, its impact can potentially be broader and include other socially relevant elements like job quality. In effect, the quantity of…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-12 Fernando Almeida , Nelson Amoedo

A new model that combines economic growth rate fluctuations at the microscopic and macroscopic level is presented. At the microscopic level, firms are growing at different rates while also being exposed to idiosyncratic shocks at the firm…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-07 Sandro Claudio Lera , Didier Sornette

In this paper, we construct an analytical model of the data economy with empirical evidence to explain the nexus between dataization and technological progress in general equilibrium. Data originates from the dataization of firm total…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-22 Yongheng Hu

The highly detailed international trade data among all countries in the world during 1971-2000 shows that the kinds of export goods and the logarithmic GDP (gross domestic production) of a country has an S-shaped relationship. This…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Lunchao Hu , Kailan Tian , Xin Wang , Jiang Zhang

We recall the historically admitted prerequisites of Economic Freedom (EF). We have examined 908 data points for the Economic Freedom of the World (EFW) index and 1884 points for the Index of Economic Freedom (IEF); the studied periods are…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-25 Marcel Ausloos , Philippe Bronlet

Economic forecasting is concerned with the estimation of some variable like gross domestic product (GDP) in the next period given a set of variables that describes the current situation or state of the economy, including industrial…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Decomposing taxes by source (labor, capital, sales), we analyze the impact of automation on tax revenues and the structure of taxation in 19 EU countries during 1995-2016. Pre-2008, robot diffusion lead to decreasing factor and tax income,…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-25 Kerstin Hötte , Angelos Theodorakopoulos , Pantelis Koutroumpis

In the context of the new mandatory labor compliance in the European Union (EU), which will be implemented in 2027, supply chain enterprises face stringent working hour management requirements and compliance risks. In order to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Wei Meng

The results based on the nonparametric nearest neighbor matching suggest a statistically significant positive effect of the EU ETS on the economic performance of the regulated firms during Phase I of the EU ETS. A year-by-year analysis…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-17 Nitish Gupta , Ruchir Kaul , Satwik Gupta , Jay Shah

Contemporary literature on the dynamics of economic activities in growing cities mainly focused on a few years or decades time frames. Using a new geo-historical database constructed from historical directories with about 1 million entries,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-06 Julie Gravier , Marc Barthelemy