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We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Eric Bertin , Maxime Clusel

We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

Extreme value statistics, or extreme statistics for short, refers to the statistics that characterizes rare events of either unusually high or low intensity: climate disasters like floods following extremely intense rains are among the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-11 R. Labbé , G. Bustamante

We explain how the statistics of global observables in correlated systems can be related to extreme value problems and to Gumbel statistics. This relationship then naturally leads to the emergence of the generalized Gumbel distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Eric Bertin

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-21 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-12 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal , Gregory Schehr

We suggest an extension of the standard concept of statistical ensembles. Namely, we introduce a class of ensembles with extensive quantities fluctuating according to an externally given distribution. As an example the influence of energy…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 M. I. Gorenstein , M. Hauer

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing Yao , Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Valerio Lucarini , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Kim Christensen , Xiaosong Chen

The low temperature physics of disordered systems is governed by the statistics of extremely low energy states. It is thus rather important to discuss the possible universality classes for extreme value statistics. We compare the usual…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-30 J. P. Bouchaud , M. Mezard

Nonequilibrium complex systems are often effectively described by the mixture of different dynamics on different time scales. Superstatistics, which is "statistics of statistics" with two largely separated time scales, offers a consistent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Sumiyoshi Abe

Turbulence exhibits significant velocity fluctuations even if the scale is much larger than the scale of the energy supply. Since any spatial correlation is negligible, these large-scale fluctuations have many degrees of freedom and are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-20 H. Mouri , A. Hori , Y. Kawashima , K. Hashimoto

We study the probability distribution $P$ of the sum of a large number of non-identically distributed random variables $n_m$. Condensation of fluctuations, the phenomenon whereby one of such variables provides a macroscopic contribution to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-29 Federico Corberi

Several theoretical results concerning event-by-event fluctuations are discussed: (1) a role of the global conservation laws and concept of statistical ensembles; (2) strongly intensive measures are introduced; they give a possibility to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-05-18 Mark I. Gorenstein

We study the effect of long range algebraic correlations on extreme value statistics and demonstrate that correlations can produce a limit distribution which is indistinguishable from the ubiquitous Bramwell-Holdsworth-Pinton distribution.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Kajsa Dahlstedt , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We determine the asymptotic distribution of the sum of correlated variables described by a matrix product ansatz with finite matrices, considering variables with finite variances. In cases when the correlation length is finite, the law of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-08 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We revisit the problem of condensation for independent, identically distributed random variables with a power-law tail, conditioned by the value of their sum. For large values of the sum, and for a large number of summands, a condensation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-03 Claude Godrèche

We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of observable recurrences gives information on the fractal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these…

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