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The calculation of multivariate normal probabilities is of great importance in many statistical and economic applications. This paper proposes a spherical Monte Carlo method with both theoretical analysis and numerical simulation. First,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-16 Huei-Wen Teng , Ming-Hsuan Kang , Cheng-Der Fuh

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

The method and characteristics of several approaches to the pricing of discretely monitored arithmetic Asian options on stocks with discrete, absolute dividends are described. The contrast between method behaviors for options with an Asian…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-04 Jacob Lundgren , Yuri Shpolyanskiy

Under the assumption of no-arbitrage, the pricing of American and Bermudan options can be casted into optimal stopping problems. We propose a new adaptive simulation based algorithm for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Daniel Egloff , Michael Kohler , Nebojsa Todorovic

Value-at-risk (VaR) has been playing the role of a standard risk measure since its introduction. In practice, the delta-normal approach is usually adopted to approximate the VaR of portfolios with option positions. Its effectiveness,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Junyao Chen , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

This paper covers a massive acceleration of Monte-Carlo based pricing method for financial products and financial derivatives. The method is applicable in risk management settings, where a financial product has to be priced under a number…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-09-30 Stefan Dirnstorfer , Andreas J. Grau

Driven by several successful applications such as in stochastic gradient descent or in Bayesian computation, control variates have become a major tool for Monte Carlo integration. However, standard methods do not allow the distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-06 Rémi Leluc , François Portier , Johan Segers , Aigerim Zhuman

American put options are among the most frequently traded single stock options, and their calibration is computationally challenging since no closed-form expression is available. Due to the higher flexibility in comparison to European…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Olena Burkovska , Kathrin Glau , Mirco Mahlstedt , Barbara Wohlmuth

We propose a novel algorithm which allows to sample paths from an underlying price process in a local volatility model and to achieve a substantial variance reduction when pricing exotic options. The new algorithm relies on the construction…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-04 Giacomo Bormetti , Giorgia Callegaro , Giulia Livieri , Andrea Pallavicini

The fractional calculus of variations and fractional optimal control are generalizations of the corresponding classical theories, that allow problem modeling and formulations with arbitrary order derivatives and integrals. Because of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Shakoor Pooseh

Financial derivative pricing is a significant challenge in finance, involving the valuation of instruments like options based on underlying assets. While some cases have simple solutions, many require complex classical computational methods…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-15 Robert Scriba , Yuying Li , Jingbo B Wang

A non-parametric extension of control variates is presented. These leverage gradient information on the sampling density to achieve substantial variance reduction. It is not required that the sampling density be normalised. The novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-05 Chris J. Oates , Mark Girolami , Nicolas Chopin

In this paper, we price European Call three different option pricing models, where the volatility is dynamically changing i.e. non constant. In stochastic volatility (SV) models for option pricing a closed form approximation technique is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Natasha Latif , Shafqat Ali Shad , Muhammad Usman , Chandan Kumar , Bahman B Motii , MD Mahfuzer Rahman , Khuram Shafi , Zahra Idrees

We show that Markov couplings can be used to improve the accuracy of Markov chain Monte Carlo calculations in some situations where the steady-state probability distribution is not explicitly known. The technique generalizes the notion of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Jonathan B. Goodman , Kevin K. Lin

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) is a recently proposed variation of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation that achieves variance reduction by simulating the governing equations on a series of spatial (or temporal) grids with increasing resolution.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-26 Hillary Fairbanks , Alireza Doostan , Christian Ketelsen , Gianluca Iaccarino

We present a novel method for the numerical pricing of American options based on Monte Carlo simulation and the optimization of exercise strategies. Previous solutions to this problem either explicitly or implicitly determine so-called…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-13 Christian Bayer , Raúl Tempone , Sören Wolfers

In this paper, the valuation of European and path-dependent options in foreign exchange (FX) markets is considered when the currency exchange rate evolves according to the Heston model combined with the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics for the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-06 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

We develop the idea of using Monte Carlo sampling of random portfolios to solve portfolio investment problems. In this first paper we explore the need for more general optimization tools, and consider the means by which constrained random…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-24 William T. Shaw

Monte Carlo Approaches for calculating Value-at-Risk (VaR) are powerful tools widely used by financial risk managers across the globe. However, they are time consuming and sometimes inaccurate. In this paper, a fast and accurate Monte Carlo…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi , Hamidreza Arian

We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-07 Halis Sak , İsmail Başoğlu
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