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Related papers: Some Control Variates for exotic options

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Monte Carlo (MC) sampling algorithms are an extremely widely-used technique to estimate expectations of functions f(x), especially in high dimensions. Control variates are a very powerful technique to reduce the error of such estimates, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-08 Brendan D. Tracey , David H. Wolpert

We present an adaptive approach for valuing the European call option on assets with stochastic volatility. The essential feature of the method is a reduction of uncertainty in latent volatility due to a Bayesian learning procedure. Starting…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

The vast majority of works on option pricing operate on the assumption of risk neutral valuation, and consequently focus on the expected value of option returns, and do not consider risk parameters, such as variance. We show that it is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-17 Adi Ben-Meir , Jeremy Schiff

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

Taking advantage of the recent litterature on exact simulation algorithms (Beskos, Papaspiliopoulos and Roberts) and unbiased estimation of the expectation of certain fonctional integrals (Wagner, Beskos et al. and Fearnhead et al.), we…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-08 Benjamin Jourdain , Mohamed Sbai

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling is a popular method for estimating the statistics (e.g. expectation and variance) of a random variable. Its slow convergence has led to the emergence of advanced techniques to reduce the variance of the MC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Mohamed Reda El Amri , Paul Mycek , Sophie Ricci , Matthias De Lozzo

Option valuation problems are often solved using standard Monte Carlo (MC) methods. These techniques can often be enhanced using several strategies especially when one discretizes the dynamics of the underlying asset, of which we assume…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 P. P. Osei , A. Jasra

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

An American option grants the holder the right to select the time at which to exercise the option, so pricing an American option entails solving an optimal stopping problem. Difficulties in applying standard numerical methods to complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Glasserman , Bin Yu

A critical problem in the financial world deals with the management of risk, from regulatory risk to portfolio risk. Many such problems involve the analysis of securities modelled by complex dynamics that cannot be captured analytically,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-03 Jeong Yu Han , Bin Cheng , Dinh-Long Vu , Patrick Rebentrost

In this paper we propose and analyse a method for estimating three quantities related to an Asian option: the fair price, the cumulative distribution function, and the probability density. The method involves preintegration with respect to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Alexander D. Gilbert , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan , Abirami Srikumar

One of the main practical applications of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods is the valuation of financial derivatives. We aim to give a short introduction into option pricing and show how it is facilitated using QMC. We give some practical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 Gunther Leobacher

We describe general multilevel Monte Carlo methods that estimate the price of an Asian option monitored at $m$ fixed dates. Our approach yields unbiased estimators with standard deviation $O(\epsilon)$ in $O(m + (1/\epsilon)^{2})$ expected…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahale

A general methodology is introduced for the construction and effective application of control variates to estimation problems involving data from reversible MCMC samplers. We propose the use of a specific class of functions as control…

Computation · Statistics 2010-08-10 Petros Dellaportas , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Conditional Monte Carlo (CMC) has been widely used for sensitivity estimation with discontinuous integrands as a standard simulation technique. A major limitation of using CMC in this context is that finding conditioning variables to ensure…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Guiyun Feng , Guangwu Liu

Hedging methods to mitigate the exposure of variable annuity products to market risks require the calculation of market risk sensitivities (or "Greeks"). The complex, path-dependent nature of these products means these sensitivities…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-21 Mark J. Cathcart , Steven Morrison , Alexander J. McNeil

This work studies the valuation of currency options in markets suffering from a financial crisis. We consider a European option where the underlying asset is a foreign currency. We assume that the value of the underlying asset is a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-26 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J , Youssef El-Khatib

This paper investigates the use of multiple directions of stratification as a variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulations of path-dependent options driven by Gaussian vectors. The precision of the method depends on the choice…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Benjamin Jourdain , Bernard Lapeyre , Piergiacomo Sabino

We study Vanna-Volga methods which are used to price first generation exotic options in the Foreign Exchange market. They are based on a rescaling of the correction to the Black-Scholes price through the so-called `probability of survival'…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-04 Frédéric Bossens , Grégory Rayée , Nikos S. Skantzos , Griselda Deelstra

It is well known that Monte Carlo integration with variance reduction by means of control variates can be implemented by the ordinary least squares estimator for the intercept in a multiple linear regression model. A central limit theorem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-10 François Portier , Johan Segers