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In this thesis, we introduce Bayesian filtering as a principled framework for tackling diverse sequential machine learning problems, including online (continual) learning, prequential (one-step-ahead) forecasting, and contextual bandits. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Gerardo Duran-Martin

Recently, there has been a surge of interest in incorporating neural networks into particle filters, e.g. differentiable particle filters, to perform joint sequential state estimation and model learning for non-linear non-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Liliang Wang , Alex Gorodetsky

Data assimilation leads naturally to a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior probability distribution of the system state, given the observations, plays a central conceptual role. The aim of this paper is to use this Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

We obtain a class of higher-degree stochastic integration filters (SIF) for nonlinear filtering applications. SIF are based on stochastic spherical-radial integration rules that achieve asymptotically exact evaluations of Gaussian weighted…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-02 Syed Safwan Khalid , Naveed Ur Rehman , Shafayat Abrar

The decentralized particle filter (DPF) was proposed recently to increase the level of parallelism of particle filtering. Given a decomposition of the state space into two nested sets of variables, the DPF uses a particle filter to sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-13 Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Pouyan T. Bibalan , Nando de Freitas , Simon Fauvel

Particle filters are computational techniques for estimating the state of dynamical systems by integrating observational data with model predictions. This work introduces a class of Localized Particle Filters (LPFs) that exploit spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-10 Dan Crisan , Eliana Fausti

We propose a Conditional Density Filtering (C-DF) algorithm for efficient online Bayesian inference. C-DF adapts MCMC sampling to the online setting, sampling from approximations to conditional posterior distributions obtained by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-23 Shaan Qamar , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

An important and often overlooked aspect of particle filtering methods is the estimation of unknown static parameters. A simple approach for addressing this problem is to augment the unknown static parameters as auxiliary states that are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-01 Xiaokun Zhao , Marija Iloska , Yousef El-Laham , Mónica F. Bugallo

Graph filters play a key role in processing the graph spectra of signals supported on the vertices of a graph. However, despite their widespread use, graph filters have been analyzed only in the deterministic setting, ignoring the impact of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-18 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Andrea Simonetto , Geert Leus

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

Particle filters are a group of algorithms to solve inverse problems through statistical Bayesian methods when the model does not comply with the linear and Gaussian hypothesis. Particle filters are used in domains like data assimilation,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Sebastian Friedemann , Kai Keller , Yen-Sen Lu , Bruno Raffin , Leonardo Bautista Gomez

The particle filter is one of the most successful methods for state inference and identification of general non-linear and non-Gaussian models. However, standard particle filters suffer from degeneracy of the particle weights, in particular…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

The iterated posterior linearization filter (IPLF) is an algorithm for Bayesian state estimation that performs the measurement update using iterative statistical regression. The main result behind IPLF is that the posterior approximation is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Matti Raitoharju , Lennart Svensson , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Robert Piché

Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Domonkos Csuzdi , Olivér Törő , Tamás Bécsi

Filters are the basic and most important blocks of most signal processing applications. In many applications, a group of parallel filters are used as filter banks. Parallel filter banks naturally require much more computations. Especially…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-12 M. Tunç Arslan , Onur Yorulmaz , Erdinç L. Atılgan

We present differentiable particle filters (DPFs): a differentiable implementation of the particle filter algorithm with learnable motion and measurement models. Since DPFs are end-to-end differentiable, we can efficiently train their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-31 Rico Jonschkowski , Divyam Rastogi , Oliver Brock

Particle filters (PFs) are powerful sampling-based inference/learning algorithms for dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs). They allow us to treat, in a principled way, any type of probability distribution, nonlinearity and non-stationarity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Arnaud Doucet , Nando de Freitas , Kevin Murphy , Stuart Russell

In this article we study asymptotic properties of weighted samples produced by the auxiliary particle filter (APF) proposed by pitt and shephard (1999). Besides establishing a central limit theorem (CLT) for smoothed particle estimates, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-24 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Recursive Bayesian inference, in which posterior beliefs are updated in light of accumulating data, is a tool for implementing Bayesian models in applications with streaming and/or very large data sets. As the posterior of one iteration…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Henry R. Scharf