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Related papers: Optimal oracle inequalities for model selection

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We derive oracle inequalities for the problems of isotonic and convex regression using the combination of $Q$-aggregation procedure and sparsity pattern aggregation. This improves upon the previous results including the oracle inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Pierre C. Bellec , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We consider a model selection estimator of the covariance of a random process. Using the Unbiased Risk Estimation (URE) method, we build an estimator of the risk which allows to select an estimator in a collection of model. Then, we present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Hélène Lescornel , Jean-Michel Loubes , Claudie Chabriac

In stochastic optimization, the population risk is generally approximated by the empirical risk. However, in the large-scale setting, minimization of the empirical risk may be computationally restrictive. In this paper, we design an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 Murat A. Erdogdu , Mohsen Bayati , Lee H. Dicker

We consider a standard binary classification problem. The performance of any binary classifier based on the training data is characterized by the excess risk. We study Bahadur's type exponential bounds on the minimax accuracy confidence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-29 N. I. Pentacaput

This paper addresses the problem of model selection in the sequence model $Y=\theta+\varepsilon\xi$, when $\xi$ is sub-Gaussian, for non-euclidian loss-functions. In this model, the Penalized Comparison to Overfitting procedure is studied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Claire Lacour , Pascal Massart , Vincent Rivoirard

We study an optimization-based approach to construct statistically accurate confidence intervals for simulation performance measures under nonparametric input uncertainty. This approach computes confidence bounds from simulation runs driven…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

We provide new general kernel selection rules thanks to penalized least-squares criteria. We derive optimal oracle inequalities using adequate concentration tools. We also investigate the problem of minimal penalty as described in [BM07].

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-09 M Lerasle , N Magalhães , P Reynaud-Bouret

Empirical research typically involves a robustness-efficiency tradeoff. A researcher seeking to estimate a scalar parameter can invoke strong assumptions to motivate a restricted estimator that is precise but may be heavily biased, or they…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-17 Timothy B. Armstrong , Patrick Kline , Liyang Sun

In the same spirit as Tsybakov (2003), we define the optimality of an aggregation procedure in the problem of classification. Using an aggregate with exponential weights, we obtain an optimal rate of convex aggregation for the hinge risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Guillaume Lecué

We consider the problem of optimality, in a minimax sense, and adaptivity to the margin and to regularity in binary classification. We prove an oracle inequality, under the margin assumption (low noise condition), satisfied by an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Guillaume Lecué

This paper is devoted to model selection in logistic regression. We extend the model selection principle introduced by Birg\'e and Massart (2001) to logistic regression model. This selection is done by using penalized maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Marius Kwemou , Marie-Luce Taupin , Anne-Sophie Tocquet

By recasting indirect inference estimation as a prediction rather than a minimization and by using regularized regressions, we can bypass the three major problems of estimation: selecting the summary statistics, defining the distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-04 Ernesto Carrella , Richard M. Bailey , Jens Koed Madsen

A novel approach is proposed to establish a sharp upper bound on the expected supremum of a separable martingale random field, serving as an alternative to classical universal chaining-based methods. The proposed approach begins by deriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yoichi Nishiyama

We consider a simple optimal probabilistic problem solving strategy that searches through potential solution candidates in a specific order. We are interested in what impact has interchanging the order of two solution candidates with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Frantisek Duris

We consider estimation of an optimal individualized treatment rule from observational and randomized studies when a high-dimensional vector of baseline variables is available. Our optimality criterion is with respect to delaying expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-09 Iván Díaz , Oleksandr Savenkov , Karla Ballman

We study the problem of designing minimax procedures in linear regression under the quantile risk. We start by considering the realizable setting with independent Gaussian noise, where for any given noise level and distribution of inputs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

Optimization models used to make discrete decisions often contain uncertain parameters that are context-dependent and estimated through prediction. To account for the quality of the decision made based on the prediction, decision-focused…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Noah Schutte , Krzysztof Postek , Neil Yorke-Smith

We obtain sharp bounds on the performance of Empirical Risk Minimization performed in a convex class and with respect to the squared loss, without assuming that class members and the target are bounded functions or have rapidly decaying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Shahar Mendelson

We consider the random design regression model with square loss. We propose a method that aggregates empirical minimizers (ERM) over appropriately chosen random subsets and reduces to ERM in the extreme case, and we establish sharp oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Bilevel optimization problems, which are problems where two optimization problems are nested, have more and more applications in machine learning. In many practical cases, the upper and the lower objectives correspond to empirical risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-03 Mathieu Dagréou , Thomas Moreau , Samuel Vaiter , Pierre Ablin