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Related papers: Optimal oracle inequalities for model selection

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In this article we consider the problem of choosing an optimal sampling scheme for the regression problem simultaneously with that of model selection. We consider a batch type approach and an on-line approach following algorithms recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Ana Karina Fermin , Carenne Ludeña

We study estimation of a multivariate function $f:\mathbf{R}^d\to\mathbf{R}$ when the observations are available from the function $Af$, where $A$ is a known linear operator. Both the Gaussian white noise model and density estimation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Jussi Klemelä , Enno Mammen

Given a collection of feature maps indexed by a set $\mathcal{T}$, we study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) on regression problems with square loss over the union of the linear classes induced by these feature maps.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

In this paper, our aim is to analyse the generalization capabilities of first-order methods for statistical learning in multiple, different yet related, scenarios including supervised learning, transfer learning, robust learning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Kevin Scaman , Mathieu Even , Batiste Le Bars , Laurent Massoulié

This paper develops a general concentration inequality for the suprema of empirical processes with dependent data. The concentration inequality is obtained by combining generic chaining with a coupling-based strategy. Our framework…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Chiara Amorino , Christian Brownlees , Ankita Ghosh

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande

We study estimation of a multivariate function $f:{\bf R}^d \to {\bf R}$ when the observations are available from function $Af$, where $A$ is a known linear operator. Both the Gaussian white noise model and density estimation are studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-21 Jussi Klemelä , Enno Mammen

Ordinal regression is aimed at predicting an ordinal class label. In this paper, we consider its semi-supervised formulation, in which we have unlabeled data along with ordinal-labeled data to train an ordinal regressor. There are several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Taira Tsuchiya , Nontawat Charoenphakdee , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

We consider a Bayesian approach to model selection in Gaussian linear regression, where the number of predictors might be much larger than the number of observations. From a frequentist view, the proposed procedure results in the penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

This article describes posterior maximization for topic models, identifying computational and conceptual gains from inference under a non-standard parametrization. We then show that fitted parameters can be used as the basis for a novel…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-30 Matthew A. Taddy

Empirical risk minimization is a standard principle for choosing algorithms in learning theory. In this paper we study the properties of empirical risk minimization for time series. The analysis is carried out in a general framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Christian Brownlees , Jordi Llorens-Terrazas

In this article, we investigate large sample properties of model selection procedures in a general Bayesian framework when a closed form expression of the marginal likelihood function is not available or a local asymptotic quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Yun Yang , Debdeep Pati

Prediction sets can wrap around any ML model to cover unknown test outcomes with a guaranteed probability. Yet, it remains unclear how to use them optimally for downstream decision-making. Here, we propose a decision-theoretic framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tao Wang , Edgar Dobriban

In machine learning, the selection of a promising model from a potentially large number of competing models and the assessment of its generalization performance are critical tasks that need careful consideration. Typically, model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-06 Pascal Rink , Werner Brannath

This paper considers an empirical risk minimization problem under heavy-tailed settings, where data does not have finite variance, but only has $p$-th moment with $p \in (1,2)$. Instead of using estimation procedure based on truncated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Guanhua Fang , Ping Li , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The empirical risk minimization approach to data-driven decision making requires access to training data drawn under the same conditions as those that will be faced when the decision rule is deployed. However, in a number of settings, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Roshni Sahoo , Lihua Lei , Stefan Wager

Optimization is offered as an objective approach to resolving complex, real-world decisions involving uncertainty and conflicting interests. It drives business strategies as well as public policies and, increasingly, lies at the heart of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Benjamin Laufer , Thomas Krendl Gilbert , Helen Nissenbaum

This article concerns the performance limits of strictly causal state estimation for linear systems with fixed, but uncertain, parameters belonging to a finite set. In particular, we provide upper and lower bounds on the smallest achievable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Olle Kjellqvist

The aim of this paper is twofold. First, three theoretical principles are formalized: randomization, overrepresentation and restriction. We develop these principles and give a rationale for their use in choosing the sampling design in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-16 Yves Tillé , Matthieu Wilhelm