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The main goal of machine learning (ML) is to study and improve mathematical models which can be trained with data provided by the environment to infer the future and to make decisions without necessarily having complete knowledge of all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-30 Omar Alzeley , Sadiah Aljeddani

Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting…

We consider a multi-type Moran model (in continuous time) with selection and type-dependent mutation. This paper is concerned with the evolution of genealogical information forward in time. For this purpose we define and analytically…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Peter Seidel

We review recent progress in the understanding of the role of multiple- and simultaneous multiple merger coalescents as models for the genealogy in idealised and real populations with exceptional reproductive behaviour. In particular, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath

Moran or Wright-Fisher processes are probably the most well known model to study the evolution of a population under various effects. Our object of study will be the Simpson index which measures the level of diversity of the population, one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Arnaud Personne , Arnaud Guillin , Franck Jabot , Arnaud Guillin

We study the path of family size decompositions of varying depth of genealogical trees. We prove that this decomposition as a function on (equivalence classes of) ultra-metric measure spaces to the Skorohod space describing the family sizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Max Grieshammer

The multi-species coalescent provides an elegant theoretical framework for estimating species trees and species demographics from genetic markers. Practical applications of the multi-species coalescent model are, however, limited by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-09 David Bryant , Remco Bouckaert , Joseph Felsenstein , Noah Rosenberg , Arindam RoyChoudhury

We model and study the genetic evolution and conservation of a population of diploid hermaphroditic organisms, evolving continuously in time and subject to resource competition. In the absence of mutations, the population follows a 3-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Camille Coron

In this work, we study asymptotics of multitype Galton-Watson trees with finitely many types. We consider critical and irreducible offspring distributions such that they belong to the domain of attraction of a stable law, where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Gabriel Berzunza

The recently introduced two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion extends the infinitely-many-neutral-alleles model, related to Kingman's distribution and to Fleming-Viot processes. The role of the additional parameter has been shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spano'

We propose a novel method for the inference of phylogenetic trees that utilises point configurations on hyperbolic space as its optimisation landscape. Each taxon corresponds to a point of the point configuration, while the evolutionary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Benjamin Wilson

We review and extend results for mutation, selection, genetic drift, and migration in a one-dimensional continuous population. The population is described by a continuous limit of the stepping stone model, which leads to the stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-04-14 K. S. Korolev , Mikkel Avlund , Oskar Hallatschek , David R. Nelson

The controlled branching process is a generalization of the classical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson branching process. It is a useful model for describing the evolution of populations in which the population size at each generation needs to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 M. Gonzalez , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto

We apply the theory of markov random fields on trees to derive a phase transition in the number of samples needed in order to reconstruct phylogenies. We consider the Cavender-Farris-Neyman model of evolution on trees, where all the inner…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Elchanan Mossel

Near the beginning of the century, Wright and Fisher devised an elegant, mathematically tractable model of gene reproduction and replacement that laid the foundation for contemporary population genetics. The Wright-Fisher model and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Todd L. Parsons

Many biological characteristics of evolutionary interest are not scalar variables but continuous functions. Given a dataset of function-valued traits generated by evolution, we develop a practical statistical approach to infer ancestral…

Starting from a sequence of independent Wright-Fisher diffusion processes on $[0,1]$, we construct a class of reversible infinite dimensional diffusion processes on $\DD_\infty:= \{{\bf x}\in [0,1]^\N: \sum_{i\ge 1} x_i=1\}$ with GEM…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-14 Shui Feng , Feng-Yu Wang

Monte Carlo methods are widely used importance sampling techniques for studying complex physical systems. Integrating these methods with deep learning has significantly improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional problems and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-12-24 Yixiong Ren , Jianhui Zhou

We investigate the genealogy of a sample of $k\geq1$ particles chosen uniformly without replacement from a population alive at large times in a critical discrete-time Galton-Watson process in a varying environment (GWVE). We will show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Simon C. Harris , Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch