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In this work, we study a family of non-Markovian trees modeling populations where individuals live and reproduce independently with possibly time-dependent birth-rate and lifetime distribution. To this end, we use the coding process…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Bertrand Cloez , Benoît Henry

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

Efforts to reconstruct phylogenetic trees and understand evolutionary processes depend fundamentally on stochastic models of speciation and mutation. The simplest continuous-time model for speciation in phylogenetic trees is the Yule…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-18 Willem H. Mulder , Forrest W. Crawford

This paper deals with the generalized convolutions connected with the Williamson transform and the maximum operation. We focus on such convolutions which can define transition probabilities of renewal processes. They should be monotonic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-21 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , J. K. Misiewicz , E. Omey , J. Wesołowski

We study the long-time convergence of a Fleming-Viot process, in the case where the underlying process is a metastable diffusion killed when it reaches some level set. Through a coupling argument, we establish the long-time convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Lucas Journel , Pierre Monmarché

A dynamical picture of phylogenetic evolution is given in terms of Markov models on a state space, comprising joint probability distributions for character types of taxonomic classes. Phylogenetic branching is a process which augments the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 P. D. Jarvis , J. D. Bashford , J. G. Sumner

We consider the Moran model of population genetics with two types, mutation, and selection, and investigate the line of descent of a randomly-sampled individual from a contemporary population. We trace this ancestral line back into the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Ellen Baake , Enrico Di Gaspero , Fernando Cordero

Consider a continuous time Markov chain with rates Q in the state space \Lambda\cup\{0\} with 0 as an absorbing state. In the associated Fleming-Viot process N particles evolve independently in \Lambda with rates Q until one of them…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari , Pablo Groisman

Recently there has been renewed interest in phylogenetic inference methods based on phylogenetic invariants, alongside the related Markov invariants. Broadly speaking, both these approaches give rise to polynomial functions of sequence site…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-31 Jeremy G Sumner , Amelia Taylor , Barbara R Holland , Peter D Jarvis

The deterministic selection-recombination equation describes the evolution of the genetic type composition of a population under selection and recombination in a law of large numbers regime. So far, an explicit solution has seemed out of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ellen Baake , Frederic Alberti

Diffusion processes on trees are commonly used in evolutionary biology to model the joint distribution of continuous traits, such as body mass, across species. Estimating the parameters of such processes from tip values presents challenges…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-27 Cécile Ané , Lam Si Tung Ho , Sebastien Roch

A population genetics model based on a multitype branching process, or equivalently a Galton-Watson branching process for multiple alleles, is pre- sented. The diffusion limit forward Kolmogorov equation is derived for the case of neutral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-21 Conrad J. Burden , Yi Wei

Sweepstakes reproduction refers to a highly skewed individual recruitment success without involving natural selection and may apply to individuals in broadcast spawning populations characterised by Type III survivorship. We consider an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jonathan A Chetwynd-Diggle , Bjarki Eldon

By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a new model of random tree evolution with continuous time parameter has been constructed. It is assumed that two random variables, the lifetime and the offspring number of living nodes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal

Changes in population size influence genetic diversity of the population and, as a result, leave a signature of these changes in individual genomes in the population. We are interested in the inverse problem of reconstructing past…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Julia A. Palacios , Vladimir N. Minin

We propose and study a multi-scale approach to vector quantization. We develop an algorithm, dubbed reconstruction trees, inspired by decision trees. Here the objective is parsimonious reconstruction of unsupervised data, rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Enrico Cecini , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco

The investigation of allele frequency trajectories in populations evolving under controlled environmental pressures has become a popular approach to study evolutionary processes on the molecular level. Statistical models based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Julia Siekiera , Christian Schlötterer , Stefan Kramer

We describe a new and computationally efficient Bayesian methodology for inferring species trees and demographics from unlinked binary markers. Likelihood calculations are carried out using diffusion models of allele frequency dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-18 Marnus Stoltz , Boris Bauemer , Remco Bouckaert , Colin Fox , Gordon Hiscott , David Bryant

Consider a population that is expanding in two-dimensional space. Suppose we collect data from a sample of individuals taken at random either from the entire population, or from near the outer boundary of the population. A quantity of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Shirshendu Ganguly , Jason Schweinsberg , Yubo Shuai

We show that each member of a broad class of Markovian population models induces a unique stochastic process on the space of genealogies. We construct this genealogy process and derive exact expressions for the likelihood of an observed…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-22 Aaron A. King , Qianying Lin , Edward L. Ionides
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