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The rich countries of Western Europe and its citizens benefited during at least the last 30 years from an extraordinary stable electricity grid. This stability was achieved by the european grid system and a large flexible and reliable spare…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-04-01 Michael Dittmar

Errors in applying regression models and wavelet filters used to analyze geophysical signals are discussed: (1) multidecadal natural oscillations (e.g. the quasi 60-year Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), North Atlantic Oscillation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-05-14 Nicola Scafetta

Reliable wind speed data is crucial for applications such as estimating local (future) wind power. Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide forecasts over multi-decadal periods. However, their outputs vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Sofia Morelli , Nina Effenberger , Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

Variations in zonal surface temperature gradients and zonally asymmetric tropical overturning circulations (Walker circulations) are examined over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized atmospheric general circulation model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 Timothy M. Merlis , Tapio Schneider

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

Classifying the state of the atmosphere into a finite number of large-scale circulation regimes is a popular way of investigating teleconnections, the predictability of severe weather events, and climate change. Here, we investigate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Andreas Holm Nielsen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henrik Karstoft

The European energy system will undergo major transformations in the coming decades to implement mitigation measures and comply with the Paris Agreement. In particular, the share of weather-dependent wind generation will increase…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-23 Bastien Cozian , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

We use the Global Historical Climatology Network--daily database to calculate a nonparametric statistic that describes the rate at which all-time daily high and low temperature records have been set in nine geographic regions (continents or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-16 J. M. Finkel , J. I. Katz

Trends in terrestrial temperature variability are perhaps more relevant for species viability than trends in mean temperature. In this paper, we develop methodology for estimating such trends using multi-resolution climate data from polar…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-23 Arash Khodadadi , Daniel J McDonald

We present a non-linear AI-model designed to reconstruct monthly mean anomalies of the European temperature and precipitation based on the Euro-Atlantic Weather regimes (WR) indices. WR represent recurrent, quasi-stationary, and persistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 A. Camilletti , G. Franch , E. Tomasi , M. Cristoforetti

Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with increasingly complex models which attempt to represent key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Mark S. Williamson , Chad W. Thackeray , Peter M. Cox , Alex Hall , Chris Huntingford , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

With climate change, we are expecting more frequent extreme weather events in many regions worldwide. These events can trigger disruptive, deadly natural hazards, which catch the attention of the media and raise awareness in citizens and…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-17 Marco Loche , Gianvito Scaringi

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) describes variations of North Atlantic sea surface temperature with a typical cycle of between 60 and 70 years. AMV strongly impacts local climate over North America and Europe, therefore prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Glenn Liu , Peidong Wang , Matthew Beveridge , Young-Oh Kwon , Iddo Drori

Extreme temperature events have traditionally been detected assuming a unimodal distribution of temperature data. We found that surface temperature data can be described more accurately with a multimodal rather than a unimodal distribution.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-14 Aytaç Paçal , Birgit Hassler , Katja Weigel , M. Levent Kurnaz , Michael F. Wehner , Veronika Eyring

What is certain is that surface temperatures around the globe vary considerably, regardless of the time scales or underlying causes. Since 1850, we have observed an average increase in global surface temperature anomalies of 1.2$^{\circ}$…

We use the discrete "wavelet transform microscope" to show that the surface air temperature signals of weather stations selected in Europe are monofractal. This study reveals that the information obtained in this way are richer than…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-09-15 Adrien Deliège , Samuel Nicolay

Global warming's impact on high temperatures in various parts of the world has raised concerns. This study investigates long-term temperature trends in four major Ghanaian cities representing distinct climatic zones. Using NASA's Prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-23 Joshua Attih

Climate change has become one of the biggest global problems increasingly compromising the Earth's habitability. Recent developments such as the extraordinary heat waves in California & Canada, and the devastating floods in Germany point to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Manmeet Singh , Chirag Dhara , Adarsh Kumar , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Steve Uhlig

The rise in global mean temperature is an incomplete description of warming. For many purposes, including agriculture and human life, temperature extremes may be more important than temperature means and changes in local extremes may be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-03 J. M. Finkel , J. I. Katz

Despite the coupled nature of water and electricity demand, the two utilities are often managed by different entities with minimal interaction. Neglecting the water-energy demand nexus leads to to suboptimal management decisions,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-02 Renee Obringer , Roshanak Nateghi , Jessica Knee , Kaveh Madani , Rohini Kumar
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