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We analyze European temperature variability from station data with the method of detrended fluctuation analysis. This method is known to give a scaling exponent indicating long range correlations in time for temperature anomalies. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-10-02 Philipp G Meyer , Holger Kantz

How strong are quantitative contributions of the key natural modes of climate variability and the anthropogenic factor characterized by the changes of the radiative forcing of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to the trends of the surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-03 I. I. Mokhov , D. A. Smirnov

Arctic sea ice is rapidly retreating due to global warming, and emerging evidence suggests that the rate of decline may have been underestimated. A key factor contributing to this underestimation is the coarse resolution of current climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Ruijian Gou , Gerrit Lohmann , Deliang Chen , Shiming Xu , Ruiqi Shu , Shaoqing Zhang , Lixin Wu

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

Climate (change) affects the prices of goods and services in different countries or regions differently. Simply relying on aggregate measures or summary statistics, such as the impact of average country temperature changes on HICP headline…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-09 Paulo M. M. Rodrigues , Mirjam Salish , Nazarii Salish

Renewable electricity generation has grown significantly across many European power systems, leading to a greener energy mix, but also additional complexity in balancing electricity supply and demand. Unexpected differences between…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Arnaud Verstraeten , Maria Margarida Mascarenhas , Hussain Kazmi

Numerical climate models are used to project future climate change due to both anthropogenic and natural causes. Differences between projections from different climate models are a major source of uncertainty about future climate. Emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Thomas J. Bracegirdle

Climate change will impact wind and therefore wind power generation with largely unknown effect and magnitude. Climate models can provide insights and should be used for long-term power planning. In this work we use Gaussian processes to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-23 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig

Global warming presents an unprecedented challenge to our planet however comprehensive understanding remains hindered by geographical biases temporal limitations and lack of standardization in existing research. An end to end visual…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-19 Meihua Zhou , Nan Wan , Tianlong Zheng , Hanwen Xu , Li Yang , Tingting Wang

Modern weather stations in Germany record daily temperatures every 10 minutes, whereas measurements from historical reference periods are often only available at much coarser temporal resolutions, typically hourly. This discrepancy must be…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-27 Kevin Wilk , Hajo Holzmann

We use continuous wavelet tools to characterize the dynamics of climate change across time and frequencies. This approach allows us to capture the changing patterns in the relationship between global mean temperature anomalies and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Luis Aguiar-Conraria , Vasco J. Gabriel , Luis F. Martins , Anthoulla Phella

Earth's energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere is a key climate system metric, but its natural variability is poorly constrained by the short observational record and large uncertainty in coupled climate models. While existing ocean…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Dominik Stiller , Gregory J. Hakim

Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change implies that fast-feedback equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is 1.2 +/- 0.3{\deg}C (2$\sigma$) per W/m$^2$. Consistent analysis of temperature over the full…

In this study we consider the problem of detecting and quantifying changes in the distribution of the annual maximum daily maximum temperature (TXx) in a large gridded data set of European daily temperature during the years 1950-2018.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-03 Graeme Auld , Gabriele Hegerl , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

Weather and climate extremes such as heatwaves are crucial climate hazards to people and ecosystems worldwide. In any region, climate change may alter their characteristics in complex ways so that rigorous and holistic quantification of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-29 Gottfried Kirchengast , Stephanie J. Haas , Jürgen Fuchsberger

Machine learning (ML) models are successful with weather forecasting and have shown progress in climate simulations, yet leveraging them for useful climate predictions needs exploration. Here we show this feasibility using Neural General…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-18 Gan Zhang , Megha Rao , Janni Yuval , Ming Zhao

Global warming due to human-made gases, mainly CO2, is already 0.8{\deg}C and deleterious climate impacts are growing worldwide. More warming is 'in the pipeline' because Earth is out of energy balance, with absorbed solar energy exceeding…

We report on a set of laboratory experiments to investigate the effect of Arctic warming on the amplitude and drift speed of the mid-latitude jet stream. Our results show that a progressive decrease of the meridional temperature difference…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-27 Costanza Rodda , Uwe Harlander , Miklos Vincze

Wind energy plays a critical role in mitigating climate change and meeting growing energy demands. However, the long-term impacts of anthropogenic warming on wind resources, particularly their seasonal variations and potential compounding…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-03 Gan Zhang

Previous studies have identified an association between near-surface temperature anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere and weak stratospheric polar westerlies. Large regions in northern Asia, Europe and North America have been found to cool…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-28 E. W. Kolstad , T. Breiteig , A. A. Scaife
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