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In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

In this work we present a novel recurrent neural network architecture designed to model systems characterized by multiple characteristic timescales in their dynamics. The proposed network is composed by several recurrent groups of neurons…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Michael Kampffmeyer , Enrico Maiorino , Robert Jenssen

Evaluation of likelihood functions for cosmological large scale structure data sets (including CMB, galaxy redshift surveys, etc.) naturally involves marginalization, i.e., integration, over an unknown underlying random signal field.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-14 Patrick McDonald

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

We describe a seriation algorithm for ranking a set of items given pairwise comparisons between these items. Intuitively, the algorithm assigns similar rankings to items that compare similarly with all others. It does so by constructing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-11 Fajwel Fogel , Alexandre d'Aspremont , Milan Vojnovic

It is shown that the renormalization group (RG) method for global analysis can be formulated in the context of the classical theory of envelopes: Several examples from partial differential equations are analyzed. The amplitude equations…

patt-sol · Physics 2008-02-03 Teiji Kunihiro

Criticality and symmetry, studied by the renormalization groups, lie at the heart of modern physics theories of matters and complex systems. However, surveying these properties with massive experimental data is bottlenecked by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-30 Yang Tian , Yizhou Xu , Pei Sun

We study the dynamical density matrix renormalization group (DDMRG) and time-dependent density matrix renormalization group (td-DMRG) algorithms in the ab initio context, to compute dynamical correlation functions of correlated systems. We…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-11-21 Enrico Ronca , Zhendong Li , Carlos A. Jimenez-Hoyos , Garnet Kin-Lic Chan

The so-called renormalization group (RG) method is applied to derive kinetic and transport equations from the respective microscopic equations. The derived equations include Boltzmann equation in classical mechanics, Fokker-Planck equation,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-07 Y. Hatta , T. Kunihiro

For the last few years it has been observed that the Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) has achieved an excellent success in image classification, speech recognition. But DNNs are suffer great deal of challenges for time series forecasting because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-09 Samit Bhanja , Abhishek Das

Numerical approaches are an important tool to study strongly correlated quantum systems. However, their fragility with respect to rounding errors is not well studied and numerically verified enclosures of the results are not available. In…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2019-02-20 Peter Schmitteckert

Many applications collect a large number of time series, for example, the financial data of companies quoted in a stock exchange, the health care data of all patients that visit the emergency room of a hospital, or the temperature sequences…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-09 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

A new strategy is presented for systematically treating super-leading logarithmic contributions including higher-order Glauber exchanges for non-global LHC observables in renormalization-group (RG) improved perturbation theory. This…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-08-09 Philipp Böer , Patrick Hager , Matthias Neubert , Michel Stillger , Xiaofeng Xu

Time series forecasting is widely used in a multitude of domains. In this paper, we present four models to predict the stock price using the SPX index as input time series data. The martingale and ordinary linear models require the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-23 Aaron Elliot , Cheng Hua Hsu

Forecasting financial time series is considered to be a difficult task due to the chaotic feature of the series. Statistical approaches have shown solid results in some specific problems such as predicting market direction and single-price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Angelo Garangau Menezes , Saulo Martiello Mastelini

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

We introduce an RG-inspired coarse-graining for extracting the collective features of data. The key to successful coarse-graining lies in finding appropriate pairs of data sets. We coarse-grain the two closest data in a regular real-space…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Jonathan Landy , Tsvi Tlusty , YeongKyu Lee , YongSeok Jho

Time series forecasting is at the core of important application domains posing significant challenges to machine learning algorithms. Recently neural network architectures have been widely applied to the problem of time series forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Chrysoula Kosma , Giannis Nikolentzos , Nancy Xu , Michalis Vazirgiannis

The renormalization group (RG) constitutes a fundamental framework in modern theoretical physics. It allows the study of many systems showing states with large-scale correlations and their classification in a relatively small set of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Guido Caldarelli , Andrea Gabrielli , Tommaso Gili , Pablo Villegas

This paper presents a method for time series forecasting with deep learning and its assessment on two datasets. The method starts with data preparation, followed by model training and evaluation. The final step is a visual inspection.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Gissel Velarde