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This work is concerned with the large deviation principle for a family of slow-fast systems perturbed by infinite-dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac12,1)$. We adopt the weak convergence method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Wenting Xu , Yong Xu , Xiaoyu Yang , Bin Pei

The purpose of this paper is twofold. In one direction, we extend the spectral method for random piecewise expanding and hyperbolic dynamics developed by the first author \textit{et al}. to establish quenched versions of the large deviation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Davor Dragičević , Yeor Hafouta

The purpose of this paper is to investigate moderate deviations for the Durbin-Watson statistic associated with the stable first-order autoregressive process where the driven noise is also given by a first-order autoregressive process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-18 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Hacène Djellout , Frédéric Proïa

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

We derive a new closed-form variance-adaptive confidence sequence (CS) for estimating the average conditional mean of a sequence of bounded random variables. Empirically, it yields the tightest closed-form CS we have found for tracking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

Cram\'er type moderate deviation theorems quantify the accuracy of the relative error of the normal approximation and provide theoretical justifications for many commonly used methods in statistics. In this paper, we develop a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Discrete Markov random fields form a natural class of models to represent images and spatial data sets. The use of such models is, however, hampered by a computationally intractable normalising constant. This makes parameter estimation and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-25 Haakon Michael Austad , Håkon Tjelmeland

In this paper, we consider partial sums of triangular martingale differences weighted by random variables drawn uniformly on the sphere, and globally independent of the martingale differences. Starting from the so-called principle of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 J Dedecker , F Merlevède , M Peligrad , Vishakha Sharma

We present precise moderate deviation probabilities, in both quenched and annealed settings, for a recurrent diffusion process with a Brownian potential. Our method relies on fine tools in stochastic calculus, including Kotani's lemma and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

Bitseki and Delmas (2021) have studied recently the central limit theorem for kernel estimator of invariant density in bifurcating Markov chains models. We complete their work by proving a moderate deviation principle for this estimator.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$ and $\tilde Z_n(t)=\int…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Xiaoqiang Wang , Chunmao Huang

We provide some sufficient mixing conditions on a strictly stationary sequence in order to guarantee the weak invariance principle in H\"older spaces. Strong mixing and $\rho$-mixing conditions are investigated as well as $\tau$-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Davide Giraudo

In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimators of a probability density function defined by the stochastic approximation algorithm introduced by Mokkadem et al. [2009. The stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Yousri Slaoui

This paper is inspired by the problem of understanding in a mathematical sense the Liouville quantum gravity on surfaces. Here we show how to define a stationary random metric on self-similar spaces which are the limit of nice finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Mikhail Khristoforov , Victor Kleptsyn , Michele Triestino

Our first result is a stochastic sewing lemma with quantitative estimates for mild incremental processes, with which we study SPDEs driven by fractional Brownian motions in a random environment. We obtain uniform $L^p$-bounds. Our second…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Xue-Mei Li , Julian Sieber

Physically motivated stochastic dynamics are often used to sample from high-dimensional distributions. However such dynamics often get stuck in specific regions of their state space and mix very slowly to the desired stationary state. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Abhijith Jayakumar , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray

The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Asmerilda Hitaj , Friedrich Hubalek , Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

We consider the small deviation probabilities (SDP) for sums of stationary Gaussian sequences. For the cases of constant boundaries and boundaries tending to zero, we obtain quite general results. For the case of the boundaries tending to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

Localized sufficient conditions for the large deviation principle of the given stochastic differential equations will be presented for stochastic differential equations with non-Lipschitzian and time-inhomogeneous coefficients, which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Yunjiao Hu , Guangqiang Lan