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We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

In this paper, we obtain precise rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for stationary sequences of real-valued random variables satisfying weak dependence conditions including strong mixing in the sense of Rosenblatt…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-17 Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

We use a new method via $p$-Wasserstein bounds to prove Cram\'er-type moderate deviations in (multivariate) normal approximations. In the classical setting that $W$ is a standardized sum of $n$ independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

The paper concerns itself with establishing large deviation principles for a sequence of stochastic integrals and stochastic differential equations driven by general semimartingales in infinite-dimensional settings. The class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Arnab Ganguly

In this paper we are concerned with hitting times of a family of density-dependent Markov chains. A moderate deviation principle of the hitting time is given. The proof of the main theorem relies heavily on moderate deviations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Yuheng He , Xiaofeng Xue

We provide non-asymptotic, relative deviation bounds for the eigenvalues of empirical covariance and Gram matrices in general settings. Unlike typical uniform bounds, which may fail to capture the behavior of smaller eigenvalues, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir

We provide a unifying treatment of pathwise moderate deviations for models commonly used in financial applications, and for related integrated functionals. Suitable scaling allows us to transfer these results into small-time, large-time and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-04 Antoine Jacquier , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This work focuses on moderate deviations for two-time scale systems with mixed fractional Brownian motion. Our proof uses the weak convergence method which is based on the variational representation formula for mixed fractional Brownian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Xiaoyu Yang , Yuzuru Inahama , Yong Xu

We consider a class of non-homogeneous Markov chains, that contains many natural examples. Next, using martingale methods, we establish some deviation and moment inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions of such a chain, under moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Jérôme Dedecker , Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan

Statistical methods for functional data are of interest for many applications. In this paper, we prove a central limit theorem for random variables taking their values in a Hilbert space. The random variables are assumed to be weakly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-16 H. Dehling , O. Sh. Sharipov , M. Wendler

We consider systems of slow--fast diffusions with small noise in the slow component. We construct provably logarithmic asymptotically optimal importance schemes for the estimation of rare events based on the moderate deviations principle.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

An estimate of the order of approximation in the central limit theorem for strictly stationary associated random variables with finite moments of order q > 2 is obtained. A moderate deviation result is also obtained. We have a refinement of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 M. Sreehari

Frames in separable Hilbert spaces gives stable analysis and reconstruction of each vector in the underlying space. In this paper, we study frame conditions for a collection of matrix-valued functions obtained by non-uniform shifts. We give…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Hari Krishan Malhotra , Manisha Chhillar , Lalit Kumar Vashisht

We consider the piecewise-deterministic Markov process obtained by randomly switching between the flows generated by a finite set of smooth vector fields on a compact set. We obtain H\"ormander-type conditions on the vector fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Michel Benaïm , Oliver Tough

We prove a deviation bound for the maximum of partial sums of functions of $\alpha$-dependent sequences as defined in Dedecker, Gou{\"e}zel and Merlev{\`e}de (2010). As a consequence, we extend the Rosenthal inequality of Rio (2000) for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 J Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

We prove two Large deviations principles (LDP) in the zone of moderate deviation probabilities. First we establish LDP for the conditional distributions of moderate deviations of empirical bootstrap measures given empirical probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Mikhail Ermakov

Let $(X_t)$ be a discrete time Markov chain on a general state space. It is well-known that if $(X_t)$ is aperiodic and satisfies a drift and minorization condition, then it converges to its stationary distribution $\pi$ at an exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Daniel C. Jerison

Distance covariance is a measure of dependence between two random variables that take values in two, in general different, metric spaces, see Sz\'ekely, Rizzo and Bakirov (2007) and Lyons (2013). It is known that the distance covariance,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Svante Janson

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Youzhou Zhou