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We analyze the Gaussian approximation as a method to obtain the first and second moments of a stochastic process described by a master equation. We justify the use of this approximation with ideas coming from van Kampen's expansion approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

Some scenarios require the computation of a predictive distribution of a new value evaluated on an objective function conditioned on previous observations. We are interested on using a model that makes valid assumptions on the objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Lucia Asencio-Martín , Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

In this work, we attempt to refine the classic asymptotic formulae to describe the probability distribution of likelihood-ratio statistical tests. The idea is to split the probability distribution function into two parts. One part is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-07-29 Li-Gang Xia , Yan Zhang

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, (\mathcal{F})_{t\ge 0}, P)$ be a complete stochastic basis, $X$ a semimartingale with predictable compensator $(B, C, \nu)$. Consider a family of probability measures $\mathbf{P}=( {P}^{n, \psi}, \psi\in \Psi,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-14 Zhonggen Su , Hanchao Wang

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

We consider the problem of estimating a smooth functional of an unknown signal with discontinuity from Gaussian observations. The signal is a known function that depends on an unknown parameter. This problem is closely related to the famous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-19 Farida Enikeeva

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

In this paper we derive a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for inhomogeneous U/V-statistics of a general order. Using this, we derive a LDP for two types of statistics: random multilinear forms, and number of monochromatic copies of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Nabarun Deb , Sumit Mukherjee

We develop a theory of local asymptotic normality in the quantum domain based on a novel quantum analogue of the log-likelihood ratio. This formulation is applicable to any quantum statistical model satisfying a mild smoothness condition.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-11-11 Koichi Yamagata , Akio Fujiwara , Richard D. Gill

Low-rank approximation is a popular strategy to tackle the "big n problem" associated with large-scale Gaussian process regressions. Basis functions for developing low-rank structures are crucial and should be carefully specified.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Yan Song , Wenlin Dai , Marc G. Genton

Likelihood-based methods of statistical inference provide a useful general methodology that is appealing, as a straightforward asymptotic theory can be applied for their implementation. It is important to assess the relationships between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Thomas J. DiCiccio , Todd A. Kuffner , G. Alastair Young , Russell Zaretzki

In this paper we give simple sufficient conditions for linear type processes with short memory that imply the invariance principle. Various examples including projective criterion are considered as applications. In particular, we treat the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

Synthetic likelihood is an attractive approach to likelihood-free inference when an approximately Gaussian summary statistic for the data, informative for inference about the parameters, is available. The synthetic likelihood method derives…

This paper develops asymptotic theory of integrals of empirical quantile functions with respect to random weight functions, which is an extension of classical $L$-statistics. They appear when sample trimming or Winsorization is applied to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Tetsuya Kaji

Over the past decades, various methods for comparing the means of two log-normal have been proposed. Some of them are differing in terms of how the statistic test adjust to accept or to reject the null hypothesis. In this study, a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Kamel Abdollahnezhad , M. Babanezhad , Ali Akbar Jafari

In this paper, we present some asymptotic properties of the normalized inverse-Gaussian process. In particular, when the concentration parameter is large, we establish an analogue of the empirical functional central limit theorem, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-29 Luai Al Labadi , Mahmoud Zarepour

In this article, we propose a novel logistic quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (LQMLE) for general parametric time series models. Compared to the classical Gaussian QMLE and existing robust estimations, it enjoys many distinctive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Zihan Wang , Xinghao Qiao , Dong Li , Howell Tong

We develop generic and efficient importance sampling estimators for Monte Carlo evaluation of prices of single- and multi-asset European and path-dependent options in asset price models driven by L\'evy processes, extending earlier works…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-17 Adrien Genin , Peter Tankov

We consider nonparametric testing in a non-asymptotic framework. Our statistical guarantees are exact in the sense that Type I and II errors are controlled for any finite sample size. Meanwhile, one proposed test is shown to achieve minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Yun Yang , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng