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We investigate a Coulomb gas in a potential satisfying a weaker growth assumption than usual and establish a large deviation principle for its empirical measure. As a consequence the empirical measure is seen to converge towards a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Adrien Hardy

Dedicated to the memory of Professor Tze Leung Lai, this paper introduces three multi-hypothesis sequential tests. These tests are derived from one-sided versions of the sequential probability ratio test and its modifications. They are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We prove a law of large numbers in terms of complete convergence of independent random variables taking values in increments of monotone functions, with convergence uniform both in the initial and the final time. The result holds also for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-30 Tetsuya Hattori

We give sufficient conditions for the asymptotic normality of linear combinations of order statistics (L-statistics) in the case of simple random samples without replacement. In the first case, restrictions are imposed on the weights of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-11 Andrius Čiginas

Based on two-sided heat kernel estimates for a class of symmetric jump processes on metric measure spaces, the laws of the iterated logarithm (LILs) for sample paths, local times and ranges are established. In particular, the LILs are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Panki Kim , Takashi Kumagai , Jian Wang

Here in this paper, it is tried to obtain and compare the ML estimations based on upper record values and a random sample. In continue, some theorems have been proven about the behavior of these estimations asymptotically.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Saman Hosseini , Dler Hussein Kadir , Kostas Triantafyllopoulos

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

Several machine learning problems arising in natural language processing can be modeled as a sequence labeling problem. We provide Gaussian process models based on pseudo-likelihood approximation to perform sequence labeling. Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-22 P. K. Srijith , P. Balamurugan , Shirish Shevade

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

New nonparametric tests of copula exchangeability and radial symmetry are proposed. The novel aspect of the tests is a resampling procedure that exploits group invariance conditions associated with the relevant symmetry hypothesis. They may…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-16 Brendan K. Beare , Juwon Seo

One of the main differences between the central limit theorem and the Poisson law of small numbers is that the former possesses the large sample property (LSP), i.e., the error of normal approximation to the sum of $n$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

We propose an asymptotic theory for distribution forecasting from the log normal chain-ladder model. The theory overcomes the difficulty of convoluting log normal variables and takes estimation error into account. The results differ from…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-18 D. Kuang , B. Nielsen

An approximation method is presented for probabilistic inference with continuous random variables. These problems can arise in many practical problems, in particular where there are "second order" probabilities. The approximation, based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Ross D. Shachter

Large-margin classifiers are popular methods for classification. We derive the asymptotic expression for the generalization error of a family of large-margin classifiers in the limit of both sample size $n$ and dimension $p$ going to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-02 Hanwen Huang , Qinglong Yang

Uncertainty in estimating the log-law parameters is arguably the greatest obstacle to establishing definitive conclusions regarding their numerical values and universality. This challenge is exacerbated by the limited number of studies that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 M. Aguiar Ferreira , B. Ganapathisubramani

The stochastic expansion of the marginal quasi-likelihood function associated with a class of generalized linear models is shown. Based on the expansion, a quasi-Bayesian information criterion is proposed that is able to deal with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-19 Shoichi Eguchi

We consider systems of slow--fast diffusions with small noise in the slow component. We construct provably logarithmic asymptotically optimal importance schemes for the estimation of rare events based on the moderate deviations principle.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We propose an estimation procedure for linear functionals based on Gaussian model selection techniques. We show that the procedure is adaptive, and we give a non asymptotic oracle inequality for the risk of the selected estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Béatrice Laurent , Carenne Ludeña , Clémentine Prieur

We consider orthogonally invariant probability measures on $\mathrm{GL}_n(\mathbb{R})$ and compare the mean of the logs of the moduli of eigenvalues of the matrices to the Lyapunov exponents of random matrix products independently drawn…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Diego Armentano , Gautam Chinta , Siddhartha Sahi , Michael Shub

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser
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