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Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) (Chipman et. al., 2010) is a powerful predictive model that often outperforms alternative models at out-of-sample prediction. BART is especially well-suited to settings with unstructured predictor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Jingyu He , Saar Yalov , P. Richard Hahn

This manuscript studies a general approach to construct confidence sets for the solution of stochastic optimization, rendering empirical risk minimization as special cases. Statistical inference for stochastic optimization poses significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Cross-study replicability is a powerful model evaluation criterion that emphasizes generalizability of predictions. When training cross-study replicable prediction models, it is critical to decide between merging and treating the studies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-14 Cathy Shyr , Pragya Sur , Giovanni Parmigiani , Prasad Patil

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

We propose a model to tackle classification tasks in the presence of very little training data. To this aim, we approximate the notion of exact match with a theoretically sound mechanism that computes a probability of matching in the input…

Deep learning is a topic of considerable current interest. The availability of massive data collections and powerful software resources has led to an impressive amount of results in many application areas that reveal essential but hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Aleksandr Aravkin , Daniel Gedon , Lennart Ljung , Antônio H. Ribeiro , Thomas B. Schön

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Haozhen Wu

We propose a novel method for modeling data by using structural models based on economic theory as regularizers for statistical models. We show that even if a structural model is misspecified, as long as it is informative about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Jiaming Mao , Zhesheng Zheng

We present nonparametric algorithms for estimating optimal individualized treatment rules. The proposed algorithms are based on the XGBoost algorithm, which is known as one of the most powerful algorithms in the machine learning literature.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-04 Duzhe Wang , Haoda Fu , Po-Ling Loh

I congratulate all the authors for their insightful papers with wide-ranging contributions. The articles demonstrate the power and elegance of the Bayesian inference paradigm. In particular, it allows to incorporate prior knowledge as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-21 Peter Bühlmann

We analyze the performance of the top-down multiclass classification algorithm for decision tree learning called LOMtree, recently proposed in the literature Choromanska and Langford (2014) for solving efficiently classification problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Anna Choromanska , Krzysztof Choromanski , Mariusz Bojarski

Simulation-based methods for statistical inference have evolved dramatically over the past 50 years, keeping pace with technological advancements. The field is undergoing a new revolution as it embraces the representational capacity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Raphaël Huser

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

This paper explores two classes of model adaptation methods for Web search ranking: Model Interpolation and error-driven learning approaches based on a boosting algorithm. The results show that model interpolation, though simple, achieves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Jianfeng Gao , Qiang Wu , Chris Burges , Krysta Svore , Yi Su , Nazan Khan , Shalin Shah , Hongyan Zhou

Database theory and database practice are typically the domain of computer scientists who adopt what may be termed an algorithmic perspective on their data. This perspective is very different than the more statistical perspective adopted by…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-03-06 Michael W. Mahoney

Machine learning techniques are used in a wide range of domains. However, machine learning models often suffer from the problem of over-fitting. Many data augmentation methods have been proposed to tackle such a problem, and one of them is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-21 Masanari Kimura

Evaluating performance across optimization algorithms on many problems presents a complex challenge due to the diversity of numerical scales involved. Traditional data processing methods, such as hypothesis testing and Bayesian inference,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Yunpeng Jinng , Qunfeng Liu

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is intended to infer the unknown density distribution while making as few assumptions as possible. To alleviate the over parameterization in nonparametric data fitting, smoothing assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 YunPeng Li , ZhaoHui Ye

Machine learning is the dominant approach to artificial intelligence, through which computers learn from data and experience. In the framework of supervised learning, a necessity for a computer to learn from data accurately and efficiently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-25 Amir R. Asadi

Model uncertainty is pervasive in real world analysis situations and is an often-neglected issue in applied statistics. However, standard approaches to the research process do not address the inherent uncertainty in model building and,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Mariana Nold , Florian Meinfelder , David Kaplan