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Conformal prediction has emerged as a cutting-edge methodology in statistics and machine learning, providing prediction intervals with finite-sample frequentist coverage guarantees. Yet, its interplay with Bayesian statistics, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Nina Deliu , Brunero Liseo

Statistical learning methods have been growing in popularity in recent years. Many of these procedures have parameters that must be tuned for models to perform well. Research has been extensive in neural networks, but not for many other…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-15 Jill F. Lundell

We provide statistical guarantees for Bayesian variational boosting by proposing a novel small bandwidth Gaussian mixture variational family. We employ a functional version of Frank-Wolfe optimization as our variational algorithm and study…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Biraj Subhra Guha , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

The past century has seen a steady increase in the need of estimating and predicting complex systems and making (possibly critical) decisions with limited information. Although computers have made possible the numerical evaluation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-13 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel

Boosting techniques from the field of statistical learning have grown to be a popular tool for estimating and selecting predictor effects in various regression models and can roughly be separated in two general approaches, namely gradient…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-16 Colin Griesbach , Andreas Groll , Elisabeth Waldmann

This paper presents the key algorithmic techniques behind CatBoost, a new gradient boosting toolkit. Their combination leads to CatBoost outperforming other publicly available boosting implementations in terms of quality on a variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Gleb Gusev , Aleksandr Vorobev , Anna Veronika Dorogush , Andrey Gulin

Gradient boosting, a method of building additive ensembles from weak learners, has established itself as a practical and theoretically-motivated approach to approximate functions, especially using decision tree weak learners. Comparable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Abhijit Chowdhary , Elizabeth Newman , Deepanshu Verma

Most real-world classification problems deal with imbalanced datasets, posing a challenge for Artificial Intelligence (AI), i.e., machine learning algorithms, because the minority class, which is of extreme interest, often proves difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Gissel Velarde , Michael Weichert , Anuj Deshmunkh , Sanjay Deshmane , Anindya Sudhir , Khushboo Sharma , Vaibhav Joshi

The use of multivariate classifiers has become commonplace in particle physics. To enhance the performance, a series of classifiers is typically trained; this is a technique known as boosting. This paper explores several novel boosting…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2015-06-23 Alex Rogozhnikov , Aleksandar Bukva , Vladimir Gligorov , Andrey Ustyuzhanin , Mike Williams

The gradient boosting machine is one of the powerful tools for solving regression problems. In order to cope with its shortcomings, an approach for constructing ensembles of gradient boosting models is proposed. The main idea behind the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

One of the main tasks of actuaries and data scientists is to build good predictive models for certain phenomena such as the claim size or the number of claims in insurance. These models ideally exploit given feature information to enhance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-27 Tobias Fissler , Christian Lorentzen , Michael Mayer

Boosting as gradient descent algorithms is one popular method in machine learning. In this paper a novel Boosting-type algorithm is proposed based on restricted gradient descent with structural sparsity control whose underlying dynamics are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-18 Chendi Huang , Xinwei Sun , Jiechao Xiong , Yuan Yao

The remarkable success in neural networks provokes the selective rationalization. It explains the prediction results by identifying a small subset of the inputs sufficient to support them. Since existing methods still suffer from adopting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Linan Yue , Qi Liu , Yichao Du , Li Wang , Weibo Gao , Yanqing An

Technology and collaboration enable dramatic increases in the size of psychological and psychiatric data collections, but finding structure in these large data sets with many collected variables is challenging. Decision tree ensembles like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-15 Patrick J. Miller , Gitta H. Lubke , Daniel B. McArtor , C. S. Bergeman

Optimization is ubiquitous in our daily lives. In the past, (sub-)optimal solutions to any problem have been derived by trial and error, sheer luck, or the expertise of knowledgeable individuals. In our contemporary age, there thankfully…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Raphael Patrick Prager

To advance understanding on how to engage readers, we advocate the novel task of automatic pull quote selection. Pull quotes are a component of articles specifically designed to catch the attention of readers with spans of text selected…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Tanner Bohn , Charles X. Ling

Sample efficiency in Reinforcement Learning (RL) has traditionally been driven by algorithmic enhancements. In this work, we demonstrate that scaling can also lead to substantial improvements. We conduct a thorough investigation into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Michal Nauman , Mateusz Ostaszewski , Krzysztof Jankowski , Piotr Miłoś , Marek Cygan

A profile describes a set of properties, e.g. a set of skills a person may have, a set of skills required for a particular job, or a set of abilities a football player may have with respect to a particular team strategy. Profile matching…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jorge Martinez-Gil , Alejandra Lorena Paoletti , Gábor Rácz , Attila Sali , Klaus-Dieter Schewe

In this paper, we propose standard statistical tools as a solution to commonly highlighted problems in the explainability literature. Indeed, leveraging statistical estimators allows for a proper definition of explanations, enabling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Valentina Ghidini

High dimensional predictive regressions are useful in wide range of applications. However, the theory is mainly developed assuming that the model is stationary with time invariant parameters. This is at odds with the prevalent evidence for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-09 Kashif Yousuf , Serena Ng