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Posterior tempering reduces the influence of the likelihood in the calculation of the posterior by raising the likelihood to a fractional power $\alpha$. The resulting power posterior - also known as an $\alpha$-posterior or fractional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Ruchira Ray , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush

We consider inference in the scalar diffusion model $dX_t=b(X_t)dt+\sigma(X_t)dW_t$ with discrete data $(X_{j\Delta_n})_{0\leq j \leq n}$, $n\to \infty,~\Delta_n\to 0$ and periodic coefficients. For $\sigma$ given, we prove a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-24 Kweku Abraham

This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Kengo Kato

We consider fully connected and feedforward deep neural networks with dependent and possibly heavy-tailed weights, as introduced in [26], to address limitations of the standard Gaussian prior. It has been proved in [26] that, as the number…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Nicola Apollonio , Giovanni Franzina , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

The paper concerns the asymptotic distribution of the mixture density estimator, proposed by Oppenheim et al 2006, in the aggregation/disaggregation problem of random parameter AR(1) process. We prove that, under mild conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Dmitrij Celov , Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe

We study the central limit theorem in the non-normal domain of attraction to symmetric $\alpha$-stable laws for $0<\alpha\leq2$. We show that for i.i.d. random variables $X_i$, the convergence rate in $L^\infty$ of both the densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Christoph Börgers , Claude Greengard

We provide posterior contraction rates for constrained deep Gaussian processes in non-parametric density estimation and classication. The constraints are in the form of bounds on the values and on the derivatives of the Gaussian processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-15 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux

In this paper, we study a class of non-parametric density estimators under Bayesian settings. The estimators are piecewise constant functions on binary partitions. We analyze the concentration rate of the posterior distribution under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Linxi Liu , Wing Hung Wong

Statistical modeling and inference problems with sample sizes substantially smaller than the number of available covariates are challenging. Chakraborty et al. (2012) did a full hierarchical Bayesian analysis of nonlinear regression in such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

Many approximate Bayesian inference methods assume a particular parametric form for approximating the posterior distribution. A multivariate Gaussian distribution provides a convenient density for such approaches; examples include the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-20 Jackson Zhou , Clara Grazian , John Ormerod

Let $\mathbf {X}=\{X_t, t=1,2,... \}$ be a stationary Gaussian random process, with mean $EX_t=\mu$ and covariance function $\gamma(\tau)=E(X_t-\mu)(X_{t+\tau}-\mu)$. Let $f(\lambda)$ be the corresponding spectral density; a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-07 Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

The focus of this work is the convergence of non-stationary and deep Gaussian process regression. More precisely, we follow a Bayesian approach to regression or interpolation, where the prior placed on the unknown function $f$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Conor Osborne , Aretha L. Teckentrup

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

Frequentist conditions for asymptotic suitability of Bayesian procedures focus on lower bounds for prior mass in Kullback-Leibler neighbourhoods of the data distribution. The goal of this paper is to investigate the flexibility in criteria…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-19 B. J. K. Kleijn , Y. Y. Zhao

Motivated by the need to analyze large, decentralized datasets, distributed Bayesian inference has become a critical research area across multiple fields, including statistics, electrical engineering, and economics. This paper establishes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Bohan Wu , César A. Uribe

The ongoing unprecedented exponential explosion of available computing power, has radically transformed the methods of statistical inference. What used to be a small minority of statisticians advocating for the use of priors and a strict…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Carlos C. Rodriguez

We consider the preferential attachment model. This is a growing random graph such that at each step a new vertex is added and forms $m$ connections. The neighbors of the new vertex are chosen at random with probability proportional to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Simone Baldassarri , Gianmarco Bet

In several variables, we prove the pointwise convergence of multiresolution expansions to the distributional point values of tempered distributions and distributions of superexponential growth. The article extends and improves earlier…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Sanja Kostadinova , Jasson Vindas

On a compact group the Haar probability measure plays the role of uniform distribution. The entropy and rate distortion theory for this uniform distribution is studied. New results and simplified proofs on convergence of convolutions on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-05-27 Peter Harremoes
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