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This article concerns the non-asymptotic analysis of the singular values (and Lyapunov exponents) of Gaussian matrix products in the regime where $N,$ the number of term in the product, is large and $n,$ the size of the matrices, may be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-24 Boris Hanin , Grigoris Paouris

The random graph model has recently been extended to a random preferential attachment graph model, in order to enable the study of general asymptotic properties in network types that are better represented by the preferential attachment…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-10 Chen Avin , Zvi Lotker , David Peleg

This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

We show any subset $A\subset\mathbb{N}$ with positive upper Banach density contains the pattern $\{m,m+[n\alpha],\dots,m+k[n\alpha]\}$, for some $m\in\mathbb{N}$ and $n=p-1$ for some prime $p$, where…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-07-08 Wenbo Sun

We establish concentration rates for estimation of treatment effects in experiments that incorporate prior sources of information -- such as past pilots, related studies, or expert assessments -- whose external validity is uncertain. Each…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Frederico Finan , Demian Pouzo

The Bayesian solution to a statistical inverse problem can be summarised by a mode of the posterior distribution, i.e. a MAP estimator. The MAP estimator essentially coincides with the (regularised) variational solution to the inverse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-10 Birzhan Ayanbayev , Ilja Klebanov , Han Cheng Lie , T. J. Sullivan

Suppose we have data generated according to a multivariate normal distribution with a fixed unknown mean vector that is sparse in the sense of being nearly black. Optimality of Bayes estimates and posterior concentration properties in terms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

Transfer learning has recently shown significant performance across various tasks involving deep neural networks. In these transfer learning scenarios, the prior distribution for downstream data becomes crucial in Bayesian model averaging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Hyungi Lee , Giung Nam , Edwin Fong , Juho Lee

We study generalized bootstrap confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependency structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric and bounded distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-02 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Posterior sampling allows exploitation of prior knowledge on the environment's transition dynamics to improve the sample efficiency of reinforcement learning. The prior is typically specified as a class of parametric distributions, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Mirco Mutti , Riccardo De Santi , Marcello Restelli , Alexander Marx , Giorgia Ramponi

For estimating a positive normal mean, Zhang and Woodroofe (2003) as well as Roe and Woodroofe (2000) investigate 100($1-\alpha)%$ HPD credible sets associated with priors obtained as the truncation of noninformative priors onto the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Éric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

Consider binary observations whose response probability is an unknown smooth function of a set of covariates. Suppose that a prior on the response probability function is induced by a Gaussian process mapped to the unit interval through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Subhashis Ghosal , Anindya Roy

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

This work is devoted to a vast extension of Sanov's theorem, in Laplace principle form, based on alternatives to the classical convex dual pair of relative entropy and cumulant generating functional. The abstract results give rise to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Daniel Lacker

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

We obtain rates of contraction of posterior distributions in inverse problems defined by scales of smoothness classes. We derive abstract results for general priors, with contraction rates determined by Galerkin approximation. The rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

We develop a unifying framework for Bayesian nonparametric regression to study the rates of contraction with respect to the integrated $L_2$-distance without assuming the regression function space to be uniformly bounded. The framework is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Fangzheng Xie , Wei Jin , Yanxun Xu

In this paper we establish an estimate for the rate of convergence of the Krasnosel'ski\v{\i}-Mann iteration for computing fixed points of non-expansive maps. Our main result settles the Baillon-Bruck conjecture [3] on the asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Roberto Cominetti , José A. Soto , José Vaisman

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated , in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit
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