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We propose modified frequentist definition for the determination of confidence intervals for the case of Poisson statistics. Namely, we require that 1-\beta' \geq \sum_{n=o}^{n_{obs}+k} P(n|\lambda) \geq \alpha'. We show that this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-19 Sergey Bitioukov , Nikolai Krasnikov

This is a writeup, with some elaboration, of the talks by the two authors (a physicist and a statistician) at the first PHYSTAT Informal review on January 24, 2024. We discuss Bayesian and frequentist approaches to dealing with nuisance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-29 Robert D. Cousins , Larry Wasserman

With the advent of high-performance computing, Bayesian methods are increasingly popular tools for the quantification of uncertainty throughout science and industry. Since these methods impact the making of sometimes critical decisions in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Tim Sullivan

Following Fisher, it is widely believed that randomization "relieves the experimenter from the anxiety of considering innumerable causes by which the data may be disturbed." In particular, it is said to control for known and unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart

A central challenge in statistical inference is the presence of confounding variables that may distort observed associations between treatment and outcome. Conventional "causal" methods, grounded in assumptions such as ignorability, exclude…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Ellis Scharfenaker , Duncan K. Foley

The problem of induction has persisted since Hume exposed the logical gap between repeated observation and universal inference. Traditional attempts to resolve it have oscillated between two extremes: the probabilistic optimism of Laplace…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-11-06 Tommaso Costa

This paper compares classical parametric methods with recently developed Bayesian methods for system identification. A Full Bayes solution is considered together with one of the standard approximations based on the Empirical Bayes paradigm.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 D. Romeres , G. Prando , G. Pillonetto , A. Chiuso

Current developments in the statistics community suggest that modern statistics education should be structured holistically, that is, by allowing students to work with real data and to answer concrete statistical questions, but also by…

The formalism of quantum estimation theory with a specific focus on classical data postprocessing is applied to a two-level system driven by an external gyrating magnetic field. We employed both Bayesian and frequentist approaches to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Chun Kit Dennis Law , József Zsolt Bernád

The Bayesian Classification represents a supervised learning method as well as a statistical method for classification. Assumes an underlying probabilistic model and it allows us to capture uncertainty about the model in a principled way by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-04 Vikramkumar , Vijaykumar B , Trilochan

Physics increasingly uses Bayesian techniques for systematic data analysis and model-to-data comparison. This paper describes how these methods can be implemented to answer questions of relevance to teaching laboratories. It demonstrates…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-07-21 Matthew Heffernan

Bayesian inference requires specification of a single, precise prior distribution, whereas frequentist inference only accommodates a vacuous prior. Since virtually every real-world application falls somewhere in between these two extremes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ryan Martin

We review the most important statistical ideas of the past half century, which we categorize as: counterfactual causal inference, bootstrapping and simulation-based inference, overparameterized models and regularization, Bayesian multilevel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-04 Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

The following zero-sum game between nature and a statistician blends Bayesian methods with frequentist methods such as p-values and confidence intervals. Nature chooses a posterior distribution consistent with a set of possible priors. At…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-19 David R. Bickel

Much of science is (rightly or wrongly) driven by hypothesis testing. Even in situations where the hypothesis testing paradigm is correct, the common practice of basing inferences solely on p-values has been under intense criticism for over…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 M. J. Bayarri , Daniel J. Benjamin , James O. Berger , Thomas M. Sellke

The Jeffreys-Lindley paradox exposes a rift between Bayesian and frequentist hypothesis testing that strikes at the heart of statistical inference. Contrary to what most current literature suggests, the paradox was central to the Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Eric-Jan Wagenmakers , Alexander Ly

In this article, we survey some controversial problems concerning the idea of erasing Which Way information proposed in recent years. A statistical examination of these proposals suggests that whenever the Bayesian rule is taken into…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-08-20 Mohammad Bahrami , Afshin Shafiee

There has long been an impression that reliabilism implies externalism and that frequentist statistics, due to its reliabilist nature, is inherently externalist. I argue, however, that frequentist statistics can plausibly be understood as a…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-07-14 Hanti Lin

We perform extensive Monte Carlo simulations to systematically compare the frequentist and Bayesian treatments of the Lomb--Scargle periodogram. The goal is to investigate whether the Bayesian period search is advantageous over the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-22 Roman V. Baluev