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A dynamical model is introduced for the formation of a bullish or bearish trends driving an asset price in a given market. Initially, each agent decides to buy or sell according to its personal opinion, which results from the combination of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-09 Serge Galam

In today's era of innovation of technological progression, digitalisation has not only transformed individual lives but also has a prominent influence on business activities. The world is surviving in a global yet complex technological…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Mamdouh Alenezi

We present a new model for prediction markets, in which we use risk measures to model agents and introduce a market maker to describe the trading process. This specific choice on modelling tools brings us mathematical convenience. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Jinli Hu , Amos Storkey

It has been assumed that arbitrage profits are not possible in efficient markets, because future prices are not predictable. Here we show that predictability alone is not a sufficient measure of market efficiency. We instead propose to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Rothenstein , K. Pawelzik

It is widely assumed that increases in economic productivity necessarily lead to economic growth. In this paper, it is shown that this is not always the case. An idealized model of an economy is presented in which a new technology allows…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-26 Casey O. Barkan

Optimization is offered as an objective approach to resolving complex, real-world decisions involving uncertainty and conflicting interests. It drives business strategies as well as public policies and, increasingly, lies at the heart of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Benjamin Laufer , Thomas Krendl Gilbert , Helen Nissenbaum

Most finance studies are discussed on the basis of several hypotheses, for example, investors rationally optimize their investment strategies. However, the hypotheses themselves are sometimes criticized. Market impacts, where trades of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-03 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi , Kosei Takashima

In a market with one safe and one risky asset, an investor with a long horizon, constant investment opportunities, and constant relative risk aversion trades with small proportional transaction costs. We derive explicit formulas for the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-15 Stefan Gerhold , Paolo Guasoni , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Walter Schachermayer

Financial markets are subject to long periods of polarized behavior, such as bull-market or bear-market phases, in which the vast majority of market participants seem to almost exclusively choose one action (between buying or selling) over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Sitabhra Sinha , Srinivas Raghavendra

In the paper a problem of risk measures on a discrete-time market model with transaction costs is studied. Strategy effectiveness and shortfall risk is introduced. This paper is a generalization of quantile hedging presented in [4].

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-14 Michał Barski

Portfolio optimisation is essential in quantitative investing, but its implementation faces several practical difficulties. One particular challenge is converting optimal portfolio weights into real-life trades in the presence of realistic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-01 Cristiano Arbex Valle

In this chapter the complex systems are discussed in the context of economic and business policy and decision making. It will be showed and motivated that social systems are typically chaotic, non-linear and/or non-equilibrium and therefore…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-20 Robert Kitt

Modeling and characterizing multiple factors is perhaps the most important step in achieving excess returns over market benchmarks. Both academia and industry are striving to find new factors that have good explanatory power for future…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-31 Zikai Wei , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

Automation raises productivity and reduces paid human labor, but it also reallocates income and ownership claims. This paper studies that tradeoff in a static benchmark and in a stationary heterogeneous-agent general equilibrium. Firms…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-07 Erhan Bayraktar

As financial instruments grow in complexity more and more information is neglected by risk optimization practices. This brings down a curtain of opacity on the origination of risk, that has been one of the main culprits in the 2007-2008…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-23 Marco Bardoscia , Daniele d'Arienzo , Matteo Marsili , Valerio Volpati

Modern portfolio theory(MPT) addresses the problem of determining the optimum allocation of investment resources among a set of candidate assets. In the original mean-variance approach of Markowitz, volatility is taken as a proxy for risk,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Morrel H. Cohen , Vincent D. Natoli

Securitization is a financial process where the cash flows of income-generating assets are sold to institutional investors as securities, liquidating illiquid assets. This practice presents persistent challenges due to the absence of a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Andrea Pinto , Antonio Scala

The quantification of diversification benefits due to risk aggregation plays a prominent role in the (regulatory) capital management of large firms within the financial industry. However, the complexity of today's risk landscape makes a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-19 Matthias Degen , Dominik D. Lambrigger , Johan Segers

Optimization is widely used for decision making across various domains, valued for its ability to improve efficiency. However, poor implementation practices can lead to unintended consequences, particularly in socioeconomic contexts where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Pegah Nokhiz , Aravinda Kanchana Ruwanpathirana , Helen Nissenbaum

Financial potential is an important part of enterprise activities. The technique of the enterprise's financial potential assessment is offered in the paper. It is presented by particular stages, where each stage is related to a certain…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-13 Dmytro Zherlitsyn , Stanislav Levytskyi , Denys Mykhailyk , Victoriia Ogloblina