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We prove non-asymptotic lower bounds on the expectation of the maximum of $d$ independent Gaussian variables and the expectation of the maximum of $d$ independent symmetric random walks. Both lower bounds recover the optimal leading…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-09 Francesco Orabona , David Pal

In this paper, we give sufficient conditions to establish central limit theorems for boundary estimates of Poisson point processes. The considered estimates are obtained by smoothing some bias corrected extreme values of the point process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Ludovic Menneteau

Error bounds based on worst likely assignments use permutation tests to validate classifiers. Worst likely assignments can produce effective bounds even for data sets with 100 or fewer training examples. This paper introduces a statistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-02 Eric Bax

In this article, we prove that in the Rademacher setting, a random vector with chaotic components is close in distribution to a centred Gaussian vector, if both the maximal influence of the associated kernel and the fourth cumulant of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Guangqu Zheng

In this paper we discuss reduced order models for the approximation of parametric eigenvalue problems. In particular, we are interested in the presence of intersections or clusters of eigenvalues. The singularities originating by these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Daniele Boffi , Abdul Halim , Gopal Priyadarshi

Lower bounds involving $f$-divergences between the underlying probability measures are proved for the minimax risk in estimation problems. Our proofs just use simple convexity facts. Special cases and straightforward corollaries of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Adityanand Guntuboyina

We introduce new probabilistic arguments to derive optimal-order central moment bounds in planar directed last-passage percolation. Our technique is based on couplings with the increment-stationary variants of the model, and is presented in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Elnur Emrah , Nicos Georgiou , Janosch Ortmann

The center of gravity is a widespread algorithm for position reconstruction in particle physics. For track fitting, its standard use is always accompanied by an easy guess for the probability distribution of the positioning errors. This is…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2020-04-21 Gregorio Landi , Giovanni E. Landi

We consider the best-choice problem for independent (not necessarily iid) observations $X_1, \cdots, X_n$ with the aim of selecting the sample minimum. We show that in this full generality the monotone case of optimal stopping holds and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Alexander Gnedin , Patryk Kozieł , Małgorzata Sulkowska

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

We re-examine a lower-tail upper bound for the random variable $$X=\prod_{i=1}^{\infty}\min\left\{\sum_{k=1}^iE_k,1\right\},$$ where $E_1,E_2,\ldots\stackrel{iid}\sim\text{Exp}(1)$. This bound has found use in root-finding and seed-finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Sam Justice , N. D. Shyamalkumar

We consider the problem of approximating a general Gaussian location mixture by finite mixtures. The minimum order of finite mixtures that achieve a prescribed accuracy (measured by various $f$-divergences) is determined within constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Yun Ma , Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

Consider a discrete-time martingale, and let $V^2$ be its normalized quadratic variation. As $V^2$ approaches 1, and provided that some Lindeberg condition is satisfied, the distribution of the rescaled martingale approaches the Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

By well known results of probability theory, any sequence of random variables with bounded second moments has a subsequence satisfying the central limit theorem and the law of the iterated logarithm in a randomized form. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-28 I. Berkes , R. Tichy

We derive a posteriori error estimators for an optimal control problem governed by a convection-reaction-diffusion equation; control constraints are also considered. We consider a family of low-order stabilized finite element methods to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-24 Alejandro Allendes , Enrique Otarola , Richard Rankin

This paper investigates the optimal ergodic sublinear convergence rate of the relaxed proximal point algorithm for solving monotone variational inequality problems. The exact worst case convergence rate is computed using the performance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Guoyong Gu , Junfeng Yang

We consider the classical sequential binary hypothesis testing problem in which there are two hypotheses governed respectively by distributions $P_0$ and $P_1$ and we would like to decide which hypothesis is true using a sequential test. It…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We study the optimal estimation of probability matrices of random graph models generated from graphons. This problem has been extensively studied in the case of step-graphons and H\"older smooth graphons. In this work, we characterize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Yuchen Chen , Jing Lei

One aspect of Poisson approximation is that the support of the random variable of interest is often finite while the support of the Poisson distribution is not. In this paper we will remedy this by examining truncated negative binomial (of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 H. L. Gan