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Mutation-induced drug resistance in cancer often causes the failure of therapies and cancer recurrence, despite an initial tumor reduction. The timing of such cancer recurrence is governed by a balance between several factors such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Jasmine Foo , Kevin Leder

We consider a model of a population with fixed size $N$, which is subjected to an unlimited supply of beneficial mutations at a constant rate $\mu_N$. Individuals with $k$ beneficial mutations have the fitness $(1+s_N)^k$. Each individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Nantawat Udomchatpitak , Jason Schweinsberg

Some clinical and pre-clinical data suggests that treating some tumors at a mild, patient-specific dose might delay resistance to treatment and increase survival time. A recent mathematical model with sensitive and resistant tumor cells…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Frank Alvarez , Yannick Viossat

In large asexual populations, beneficial mutations have to compete with each other for fixation. Here, I derive explicit analytic expressions for the rate of substitution and the mean beneficial effect of fixed mutations, under the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Claus O. Wilke

We study a simple model of DNA evolution in a growing population of cells. Each cell contains a nucleotide sequence which randomly mutates at cell division. Cells divide according to a branching process. Following typical parameter values…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 David Cheek , Tibor Antal

How fast does a population evolve from one fitness peak to another? We study the dynamics of evolving, asexually reproducing populations in which a certain number of mutations jointly confer a fitness advantage. We consider the time until a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-03-31 Chaitanya S. Gokhale , Yoh Iwasa , Martin A. Nowak , Arne Traulsen

The forest of mutations associated to a multitype branching forest is obtained by merging together all vertices of its clusters and by preserving connections between them. We first show that the forest of mutations of any mulitype branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Loïc Chaumont , Thi Ngoc Anh Nguyen

We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

We consider a periodic extension of the classical Kingman non-linear model (Kingman, 1978) for the balance between selection and mutation in a large population. In the original model, the fitness distribution of the population is modeled by…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Camille Coron , Olivier Hénard

Adaptation often involves the acquisition of a large number of genomic changes which arise as mutations in single individuals. In asexual populations, combinations of mutations can fix only when they arise in the same lineage, but for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-18 Richard A. Neher , Boris I. Shraiman , Daniel S. Fisher

Cancer results from genetic alterations that disturb the normal cooperative behavior of cells. Recent high-throughput genomic studies of cancer cells have shown that the mutational landscape of cancer is complex and that individual cancers…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-10 Niko Beerenwinkel , Tibor Antal , David Dingli , Arne Traulsen , Kenneth W. Kinzler , Victor E. Velculescu , Bert Vogelstein , Martin A. Nowak

Initiation and development of a malignant tumor is a complex phenomenon that has critical stages determining its long time behavior. This phenomenon is mathematically described by means of various models: from simple heuristic models to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-23 Yuri Kozitsky , Krzysztof Pilorz

We study the effect of correlations in generation times on the dynamics of population growth of microorganisms. We show that any non-zero correlation that is due to cell-size regulation, no matter how small, induces long-term oscillations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-27 Farshid Jafarpour

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

We consider neutral evolution of a large population subject to changes in its population size. For a population with a time-variable carrying capacity we have computed the distributions of the total branch lengths of its sample genealogies.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 A. Eriksson , B. Mehlig , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov

In this work, we investigate the population dynamics of tumor cells under therapeutic pressure. Although drug treatment initially induces a reduction in tumor burden, treatment failure frequently occurs over time due to the emergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Kevin Leder , Zicheng Wang , Xuanming Zhang

We consider an asexual biological population of constant size $N$ evolving in discrete time under the influence of selection and mutation. Beneficial mutations appear at rate $U$ and their selective effects $s$ are drawn from a distribution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Su-Chan Park , Damien Simon , Joachim Krug

Investigating the emergence of a particular cell type is a recurring theme in models of growing cellular populations. The evolution of resistance to therapy is a classic example. Common questions are: when does the cell type first occur,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-19 Michael D. Nicholson , Tibor Antal

We study a class of evolution models, where the breeding process involves an arbitrary exchangeable process, allowing for mutations to appear. The population size $n$ is fixed, hence after breeding, selection is applied. Individuals are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Juri Lember , Fabio Zucca

This paper focuses on the problem of modeling the correspondence pattern for ordinary people. Suppose that letters arrive at a rate $\lambda$ and are answered at a rate $\mu$. Furthermore, we assume that, for a constant $T$, a letter is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Feng Wang , Xian-Yuan Wu