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We consider the problem of sequentially testing for changes in the mean parameter of a time series, compared to a benchmark period. Most tests in the literature focus on the null hypothesis of a constant mean versus the alternative of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta , Rupsa Basu , Holger Dette

We study the evolution leading to (or regressing from) a large fluctuation in a Statistical Mechanical system. We introduce and study analytically a simple model of many identically and independently distributed microscopic variables $n_m$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-28 Federico Corberi

Cancer results from a sequence of genetic and epigenetic changes which lead to a variety of abnormal phenotypes including increased proliferation and survival of somatic cells, and thus, to a selective advantage of pre-cancerous cells. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-05 Erik A. Martens , R. Kostadinov , Carlo C. Maley , Oskar Hallatschek

Temporal environmental variations are ubiquitous in nature, yet most of the theoretical works in population genetics and evolution assume fixed environment. Here we analyze the effect of variations in carrying capacity on the fate of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-16 Immanuel Meyer , Nadav M. Shnerb

In this note we evaluate the expected waiting time to complete a collection of coupons, in the case of coupons which arrives in groups of constant size, independently and with unequal probabilities. As an application we will be able to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-08 Marco Ferrante , Nadia Frigo

This study demonstrates how to construct the solutions of a more general form of population dynamics models via a blend of variational iterative method with Sumudu transform. In this paper, population growth models are formulated in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-14 M. O. Aibinu , S. C. Moyo , S. Moyo

The dynamics of adaptation is difficult to predict because it is highly stochastic even in large populations. The uncertainty emerges from number fluctuations, called genetic drift, arising in the small number of particularly fit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Oskar Hallatschek , Lukas Geyrhofer

We give a closed form of the discrete-time evolution of a recombination transformation in population genetics. This decomposition allows to define a Markov chain in a natural way. We describe the geometric decay rate to the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Servet Martinez

We consider a stochastic individual-based model for the evolution of a haploid, asexually reproducing population. The space of possible traits is given by the vertices of a (possibly directed) finite graph $G=(V,E)$. The evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Loren Coquille , Anna Kraut , Charline Smadi

We consider a model for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population with a large but non-constant populations size characterized by a natural birth rate, a logistic death rate modelling competition and a probability of mutation at each…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Martina Baar , Anton Bovier , Nicolas Champagnat

We study the evolution of preferences in multi-population settings that allow matches across distinct populations. Each individual has subjective preferences over potential outcomes, and chooses a best response based on his preferences and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Yu-Sung Tu , Wei-Torng Juang

First, we revisit the stochastic Luria-Delbr\"uck model: a classic two-type branching process which describes cell proliferation and mutation. We prove limit theorems and exact results for the mutation times, clone sizes, and number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 David Cheek , Tibor Antal

We consider a population of particles with unit life length. Dying each particle produces offspring whose size depends on the random environment specifying the reproduction law of all particles of the given generation and on the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

Dynamic models are widely used to mathematically describe biological phenomena that evolve over time. One important area of application is leukaemia research, where leukaemia cells are genetically modified in preclinical studies to explore…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Julian Wäsche , Romina Ludwig , Irmela Jeremias , Christiane Fuchs

A multi-type neutral Cannings population model with mutation and fixed subpopulation sizes is analyzed. Under appropriate conditions, as all subpopulation sizes tend to infinity, the ancestral process, properly time-scaled, converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Martin Möhle

This work is a continuation of [7]. We consider a continuous-time birth-and-death process in which the transition rates have an asymptotical power-law dependence upon the position of the process. We establish rough exponential asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. A. Yambartsev

This Letter studies the quasispecies dynamics of a population capable of genetic repair evolving on a time-dependent fitness landscape. We develop a model that considers an asexual population of single-stranded, conservatively replicating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Pavel Gorodetsky , Emmanuel Tannenbaum

Stem cells are characterized by their ability to self-renew, as well as to differentiate and give rise to new populations of cells. Stem cell divisions are crucial for generative processes that occur during early development, and later in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-29 Haim Bar , Huyen Nguyen , Joanne Conover

In this work, we develop a kinetic model of tumour growth taking into account the effects of clinical uncertainties characterising the tumours' progression. The action of therapeutic protocols trying to steer the tumours' volume towards a…

We consider a model of asexually reproducing individuals. The birth and death rates of the individuals are affected by a fitness parameter. The rate of mutations that cause the fitnesses to change is proportional to the population size, N.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Michael Kelly
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