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We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

In this paper, we develop a multistage approach for estimating the mean of a bounded variable. We first focus on the multistage estimation of a binomial parameter and then generalize the estimation methods to the case of general bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-27 Xinjia Chen

Confidence interval of mean is often used when quoting statistics. The same rigor is often missing when quoting percentiles and tolerance or percentile intervals. This article derives the expression for confidence in percentiles of a sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Sanjay M. Joshi

In this paper, we develop interval estimation methods for means of bounded random variables based on a sequential procedure such that the sampling is continued until the sample sum is no less than a prescribed threshold.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Xinjia Chen

In this paper, we develop a computational approach for estimating the mean value of a quantity in the presence of uncertainty. We demonstrate that, under some mild assumptions, the upper and lower bounds of the mean value are efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

Confidence intervals are a popular way to visualize and analyze data distributions. Unlike p-values, they can convey information both about statistical significance as well as effect size. However, very little work exists on applying…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-23 Jussi Korpela , Emilia Oikarinen , Kai Puolamäki , Antti Ukkonen

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

By combining a bound on the absolute value of the difference of mutual information between two joint probablity distributions with a fixed variational distance, and a bound on the probability of a maximal deviation in variational distance…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-29 A. G. Stefani , J. B. Huber , C. Jardin , H. Sticht

Confidence intervals are central to statistical inference as a tool to evaluate the type I error risk at a given significance level. We devise a method to construct confidence intervals using a single run of a permutation test. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

In this paper we first provide a method to compute confidence intervals for the center of a piecewise normal distribution given a sample from this distribution, under certain assumptions. We then extend this method to an asymptotic setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Shu Lu , Hongsheng Liu

We consider the problem of interval estimation of the odds ratio. An asymptotic confidence interval is widely applied in medical research. Unfortunately that confidence interval has a poor coverage probability: it is significantly smaller…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska , Wojciech Zieliński

By employing various empirical estimators for the Mutual Information (MI) measure, we calculate and compare the estimates and their confidence intervals for both normal and non-normal bivariate data samples. We find that certain nonlinear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Theo Grigorenko , Leo Grigorenko

The goal of any estimation study is an interval estimation of a the parameter(s) of interest. These estimations are mostly expressed using empirical confidence intervals that are based on sample point estimates of the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Ilya Novikov

We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Joel Heinrich , Craig Blocker , John Conway , Luc Demortier , Louis Lyons , Giovanni Punzi , Pekka K. Sinervo

In this paper, we have established a unified framework of multistage parameter estimation. We demonstrate that a wide variety of statistical problems such as fixed-sample-size interval estimation, point estimation with error control,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

We consider interval estimation of the difference between two binomial proportions. Several methods of constructing such an interval are known. Unfortunately those confidence intervals have poor coverage probability: it is significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-11 Wojciech Zieliński

A priori bound for the parameter to be estimated is incorporated into confidence intervals within frequentistic approach in a straightforward and optimal fashion, ensuring the best resolution of non-boundary values as well as robustness for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-04-06 Fyodor V. Tkachov

Consider a linear regression model with independent and identically normally distributed random errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is a specified linear combination of the regression parameters. We prove that the usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri , Hannes Leeb

In this paper, we consider the nonasymptotic sequential estimation of means of random variables bounded in between zero and one. We have rigorously demonstrated that, in order to guarantee prescribed relative precision and confidence level,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

Confidence intervals for the means of multiple normal populations are often based on a hierarchical normal model. While commonly used interval procedures based on such a model have the nominal coverage rate on average across a population of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-28 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff
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