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We use symbolic dynamics to study discrete adaptive games, such as the minority game and the El Farol Bar problem. We show that no such game can have deterministic chaos. We put upper bounds on the statistical complexity and period of these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , David J. Albers

We discuss in detail the derivation of stochastic differential equations for the continuum time limit of the Minority Game. We show that all properties of the Minority Game can be understood by a careful theoretical analysis of such…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Marsili , D. Challet

We study a decision-maker's problem of finding optimal monetary incentive schemes for retention when faced with agents whose participation decisions (stochastically) depend on the incentive they receive. Our focus is on policies constrained…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Daniel Freund , Chamsi Hssaine

We consider the problem of stopping a diffusion process with a payoff functional that renders the problem time-inconsistent. We study stopping decisions of naive agents who reoptimize continuously in time, as well as equilibrium strategies…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Adrien Nguyen-Huu , Xun Yu Zhou

We consider a stochastic game of contribution to the common good in which the players have continuous control over the degree of contribution, and we examine the gradualism arising from the free rider effect. This game belongs to the class…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-14 H. Dharma Kwon

This paper describes an agent-based model of a finite group of agents in a single population who each choose which convention to advocate, and which convention to practice. Influences or dependencies in agents choice exists in the form of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-30 A. K. M. Azhar , W. A. T. Wan Abdullah , M. Ruzlan

We study the problem of resilient strategies in the presence of uncertainty. Resilient strategies enable an agent to make decisions that are robust against disturbances. In particular, we are interested in those disturbances that are able…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Kush Grover , Markel Zubia , Debraj Chakraborty , Muqsit Azeem , Nils Jansen , Jan Kretinsky

We discover the mechanism for the transition from self-segregation (into opposing groups) to clustering (towards cautious behaviors) in the evolutionary minority game (EMG). The mechanism is illustrated with a statistical mechanics analysis…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-05-29 Kan Chen , Bing-Hong Wang , Baosheng Yuan

We formulate a stochastic game of mean field type where the agents solve optimal stopping problems and interact through the proportion of players that have already stopped. Working with a continuum of agents, typical equilibria become…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Marcel Nutz

We describe a simple model for speculative trading based on adaptive behavior of economic agents.The adaptive behavior is expressed through a feedback mechanism for changing agents' stock-to-bond ratios, depending on the past performance of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-26 Misha Perepelitsa

We consider a network of interacting agents and we model the process of choice on the adoption of a given innovative product by means of statistical-mechanics tools. The modelization allows us to focus on the effects of direct interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-24 Paolo Sgrignoli , Elena Agliari , Raffaella Burioni , Augusto Schianchi

Understanding the evolution of human social systems requires flexible formalisms for the emergence of institutions. Although game theory is normally used to model interactions individually, larger spaces of games can be helpful for modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-12 Seth Frey , Curtis Atkisson

Recent theories from complexity science argue that complex dynamics are ubiquitous in social and economic systems. These claims emerge from the analysis of individually simple agents whose collective behavior is surprisingly complicated.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-04-19 Seth Frey , Robert L. Goldstone

This paper contains a reformulation of any $n$-player finite, static game into a framework of distributed, dynamical system based on agents' payoff-based deviations. The reformulation generalizes the method employed in the second part of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-19 Yuke Li , Fengjiao Liu , A. Stephen Morse

The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes (`extreme events'). We study the large, internal changes produced in a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Lamper , S. Howison , N. F. Johnson

This paper studies the problem of intervention design for steering the actions of noncooperative players in quadratic network games to the social optimum. The players choose their actions with the aim of maximizing their individual payoff…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Mehran Shakarami , Ashish Cherukuri , Nima Monshizadeh

This paper studies the correlations of the average winnings of agents and the volatilities of systems based on mix-game model which is an extension of minority game (MG). In mix-game, there are two groups of agents; group1 plays the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Chengling Gou

It is well known that the addition of noise to a multistable dynamical system can induce random transitions from one stable state to another. For low noise, the times between transitions have an exponential tail and Kramers' formula gives…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Peter Ashwin , Jennifer Creaser , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova

In recent years, there has been a proliferation of online gambling sites, which made gambling more accessible with a consequent rise in related problems, such as addiction. Hence, the analysis of the gambling behaviour at both the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-24 Giuseppe Toscani , Andrea Tosin , Mattia Zanella

We consider a monopolistic seller in a market that may be segmented. The surplus of each consumer in a segment depends on the price that the seller optimally charges, which depends on the set of consumers in the segment. We study which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-25 Nima Haghpanah , Ron Siegel
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