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The Bayesian data analysis framework has been proven to be a systematic and effective method of parameter inference and model selection for stochastic processes. In this work we introduce an information content model check which may serve…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-13 Jens Krog , Michael A. Lomholt

In many scenarios, the observational data needed for causal inferences are spread over two data files. In particular, we consider scenarios where one file includes covariates and the treatment measured on one set of individuals, and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Sharmistha Guha , Jerome P. Reiter , Andrea Mercatanti

Recent technological advances have made it possible to simultaneously measure multiple protein activities at the single cell level. With such data collected under different stimulatory or inhibitory conditions, it is possible to infer the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-04 Ruiyan Luo , Hongyu Zhao

Robust analysis of coauthorship networks is based on high quality data. However, ground-truth data are usually unavailable. Empirical data suffer several types of errors, a typical one of which is called merging error, identifying different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-27 Zheng Xie

Building a machine learning solution in real-life applications often involves the decomposition of the problem into multiple models of various complexity. This has advantages in terms of overall performance, better interpretability of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Bashar Awwad Shiekh Hasan , Kate Kelly

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

This paper considers a Bayesian approach for inclusion detection in nonlinear inverse problems using two known and popular push-forward prior distributions: the star-shaped and level set prior distributions. We analyze the convergence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Babak Maboudi Afkham , Kim Knudsen , Aksel Kaastrup Rasmussen , Tanja Tarvainen

Frequentist statistical methods, such as hypothesis testing, are standard practice in papers that provide benchmark comparisons. Unfortunately, these methods have often been misused, e.g., without testing for their statistical test…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 David Issa Mattos , Jan Bosch , Helena Holmström Olsson

Adding domain knowledge to a learning system is known to improve results. In multi-parameter Bayesian frameworks, such knowledge is incorporated as a prior. On the other hand, various model parameters can have different learning rates in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sareh Nabi , Houssam Nassif , Joseph Hong , Hamed Mamani , Guido Imbens

Testing and characterizing the difference between two data samples is of fundamental interest in statistics. Existing methods such as Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer-von-Mises tests do not scale well as the dimensionality increases and…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-23 Li Ma , Wing H. Wong

Aims: Caustic-crossing binary-lens microlensing events are important anomalous events because they are capable of detecting an extrasolar planet companion orbiting the lens star. Fast and robust modelling methods are thus of prime interest…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 A. Cassan , K. Horne , N. Kains , Y. Tsapras , P. Browne

Integrating heterogeneous data sources and expert knowledge is essential for overcoming data scarcity and enhancing estimation accuracy. Two main frameworks naturally arise to perform the integration of these multiple sources: sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Mario Figueira , David Conesa , Antonio López-Quílez , Håvard Rue

In this paper, we study the impact of combining profile and network data in a de-duplication setting. We also assess the influence of a range of prior distributions on the linkage structure. Furthermore, we explore stochastic gradient…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Juan Sosa , Abel Rodriguez

A common problem in natural sciences is the comparison of competing models in the light of observed data. Bayesian model comparison provides a statistically sound framework for this comparison based on the evidence each model provides for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Jan Boelts

This paper extends the work of Clarke [1] on the Bayesian foundations of the biomagnetic inverse problem. It derives expressions for the expectation and variance of the a posteriori source current probability distribution given a prior…

Medical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Hasson , S. J. Swithenby

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

This text is a survey on cross-validation. We define all classical cross-validation procedures, and we study their properties for two different goals: estimating the risk of a given estimator, and selecting the best estimator among a given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-10 Sylvain Arlot

Early identification of at risk students in higher education depends on predictive models that maintain accuracy across successive cohorts -- a requirement that single-cohort modeling approaches fail to meet. This study evaluates Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-22 Jakob Schwerter , Amer Krivosija , Tim Novak , Katja Ickstadt , Alexander Munteanu

Methods are developed for eliciting a Dirichlet prior based upon bounds on the individual probabilities that hold with virtual certainty. This approach to selecting a prior is applied to a contingency table problem where it is demonstrated…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-10 Michael Evans , Irwin Guttman , Peiying Li

The two-level normal hierarchical model has played an important role in statistical theory and applications. In this paper, we first introduce a general adjusted maximum likelihood method for estimating the unknown variance component of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri