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Related papers: Statistical Models for Solar Flare Interval Distri…

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Post-flare arcades are well-known components of solar flare evolution, which have been observed for several decades. Coronal rain, cascades of catastrophically-cooled plasma, outline the loops and provide eye-catching evidence of the recent…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-09 Emily I. Mason , Kara L. Kniezewski

Given the rarity of significant solar flares compared to smaller ones, training effective machine learning models for solar activity forecasting is challenging due to insufficient data. This study proposes using generative deep learning…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-04 Francesco P. Ramunno , S. Hackstein , V. Kinakh , M. Drozdova , G. Quetant , A. Csillaghy , S. Voloshynovskiy

Here, we developed a complex network of solar active regions (ARs) to study various local and global properties of the network. The values of the Hurst exponent ($0.8-0.9$) were evaluated by both the detrended fluctuation analysis and the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-23 Farhad Daei , Hossein Safari , Neda Dadashi

Aperiodic variability is a characteristic feature of young stars, massive stars, and active galactic nuclei. With the recent proliferation of time domain surveys, it is increasingly essential to develop methods to quantify and analyze…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-01 Krzysztof Findeisen , Ann Marie Cody , Lynne Hillenbrand

In a solar flare, a large fraction of the magnetic energy released is converted rapidly to the kinetic energy of non-thermal particles and bulk plasma motion. This will likely result in non-equilibrium particle distributions and turbulent…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-15 Natasha L. S. Jeffrey , Lyndsay Fletcher , Nicolas Labrosse

We developed a flare prediction model using machine learning, which is optimized to predict the maximum class of flares occurring in the following 24 h. Machine learning is used to devise algorithms that can learn from and make decisions on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-01 N. Nishizuka , K. Sugiura , Y. Kubo , M. Den , S. Watari , M. Ishii

We explore the association of non-neutralized currents with solar flare occurrence in a sizable sample of observations, aiming to show the potential of such currents in solar flare prediction. We use the regularly produced high quality…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-01 Ioannis Kontogiannis , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Sung-Hong Park , Jordan A. Guerra

Understanding how energy is released in flares is one of the central problems of solar and stellar astrophysics. Observations of high temperature flare plasma hold many potential clues as to the nature of this energy release. It is clear,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-27 Jeffrey W. Reep , Harry P. Warren , Christopher S. Moore , Crisel Suarez , Laura A. Hayes

Accurate and reliable solar flare predictions are essential to mitigate potential impacts on critical infrastructure. However, the current performance of solar flare forecasting is insufficient. In this study, we address the task of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Yusuke Takagi , Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

Solar flares commonly have a hot onset precursor event" (HOPE), detectable from soft X-ray observations. Detecting this requires subtraction of pre-flare fluxes from the non-flaring Sun prior to the event, fitting an isothermal emission…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-08 Hugh S. Hudson

The aim of the present work is to specify the spatio-temporal characteristics of flare activity observed by the Reuven Ramaty High Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager (RHESSI) and Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-21 N. Gyenge , A. Ludmány , T. Baranyi

With machine learning entering into the awareness of the heliophysics community, solar flare prediction has become a topic of increased interest. Although machine learning models have advanced with each successive publication, the input…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-11 Brandon Panos , Lucia Kleint

The aim of the present investigation is to study the spatio-temporal distribution of precursor flares during the 24-hour interval preceding M- and X-class major flares and the evolution of follower flares. Information on associated…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-18 N. Gyenge , I. Ballai , T. Baranyi

We explore the general properties of near-surface flows around solar active regions. Helioseismic holography is applied to HMI Dopplergrams yielding nearly 5000 flow measurements of 336 unique active regions observed by the Solar Dynamics…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-20 D. C. Braun

We study the relationship between full-disk solar radiative flux at different wavelengths and average solar photospheric magnetic-flux density, using daily measurements from the Kitt Peak magnetograph and other instruments extending over…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-06-23 Dora Preminger , Dibyendu Nandy , Gary Chapman , Petrus C. H. Martens

Probabilistic forecasts of renewable energy production provide users with valuable information about the uncertainty associated with the expected generation. Current state-of-the-art forecasts for solar irradiance have focused on producing…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-28 Emil B. Iversen , Juan M. Morales , Jan K. Møller , Henrik Madsen

In this paper, we consider incorporating data associated with the sun's north and south polar field strengths to improve solar flare prediction performance using machine learning models. When used to supplement local data from active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-06 Mehmet Aktukmak , Zeyu Sun , Monica Bobra , Tamas Gombosi , Ward B. Manchester , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

Space weather events may cause damage to several fields, including aviation, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are one of the most significant events, and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-25 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

Solar flares are transient yet dramatic events in the atmosphere of the Sun, during which a vast amount of magnetic energy is liberated. This energy is subsequently transported through the solar atmosphere or into the heliosphere, and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-14 Graham S. Kerr

We study the decay phase of solar flares in several spectral bands using a method based on that successfully applied to white light flares observed on an M4 dwarf. We selected and processed 102 events detected in the Sun-as-a-star flux…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-10 Larisa K. Kashapova , Anne-Marie Broomhall , Alena I. Larionova , Elena G. Kupriyanova , Ilya D. Motyk
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