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This is a short letter summarizing the long paper cond-mat/0106047 in which we present a simple two-dimensional dynamical system reaching a singularity in finite time decorated by accelerating oscillations due to the interplay between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Sornette , K. Ide

We analyze the stability properties of equilibrium solutions and periodicity of orbits in a two-dimensional dynamical system whose orbits mimic the evolution of the price of an asset and the excess demand for that asset. The construction of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Vladimir Belitsky , Antonio L. Pereira , Fernando P. de Almeida Prado

Quasi-equilibrium models for aggregate variables are widely-used throughout finance and economics. The validity of such models depends crucially upon assuming that the systems' participants behave both independently and in a Markovian…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-21 Harbir Lamba

An analytic model is presented that considers the evolution of a market of durable goods. The model suggests that after introduction goods spread always according to a Bass diffusion. However, this phase will be followed by a diffusion…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-17 Joachim Kaldasch

Measures of wealth and production have been found to scale superlinearly with the population of a city. Therefore, it makes economic sense for humans to congregate together in dense settlements. A recent model of population dynamics showed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-28 James PL Tan

We consider a monopolistic seller in a market that may be segmented. The surplus of each consumer in a segment depends on the price that the seller optimally charges, which depends on the set of consumers in the segment. We study which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-25 Nima Haghpanah , Ron Siegel

We consider a simple model of rational agents competing in a single product market described by simple linear demand curve. Contrary to accepted economic theory, the agents' production levels synchronise in the absence of conscious…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-02 Russell K. Standish , Steve Keen

We propose a simple model that describes the dynamics of efficiencies of competing agents. Agents communicate leading to increase of efficiencies of underachievers, and an efficiency of each agent can increase or decrease irrespectively of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 S. N. Majumdar , P. L. Krapivsky

The processes and mechanisms underlying the origin and maintenance of biological diversity have long been of central importance in ecology and evolution. The competitive exclusion principle states that the number of coexisting species is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-02 Michael Doebeli , Eduardo Cancino Jaque , Iaroslav Ispolatov

A simple spin model is studied, motivated by the dynamics of traders in a market where expectation bubbles and crashes occur. The dynamics is governed by interactions which are frustrated across different scales: While ferromagnetic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Stefan Bornholdt

The optimal (`equilibrium') macroscopic properties of an economy with $N$ industries endowed with different technologies, $P$ commodities and one consumer are derived in the limit $N\to\infty$ with $n=N/P$ fixed using the replica method.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 A. De Martino , M. Marsili , I. Perez Castillo

Throughout history, many countries have repeatedly experienced large swings in asset prices, which are usually accompanied by large fluctuations in macroeconomic activity. One of the characteristics of the period before major economic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-12 Tomohiro Hirano

Spatial distribution of the human population is distinctly heterogeneous, e.g. showing significant difference in the population density between urban and rural areas. In the historical perspective, i.e. on the timescale of centuries, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-08-30 Anna Zincenko , Sergei Petrovskii , Vitaly Volpert

A model of open economics composed of producers and speculators is investigated by numerical simulations. The capital flows from the environment to the producers and from them to the speculators. The price fluctuations are suppressed by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Frantisek Slanina , Yi-Cheng Zhang

A well-known model due to J.-M. Lasry and P.L. Lions that presents the evolution of prices in a market as the evolution of a free boundary in a diffusion equation is suggested to be modified in order to show instabilities for some values of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-06-06 María del Mar González , Maria Pia Gualdani , Joan Solà-Morales

Although classical economic theory is based on the concept of stable equilibrium, real economic systems appear to be always out of equilibrium. Indeed, they share many of the dynamical features of other complex systems, e.g., ecological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-16 Sitabhra Sinha

From some observations on economic behaviors, in particular changing economic conditions with time and space, we develop a very simple model for the evolution of economic entities within a geographical type of framework. We raise a few…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-08-31 Marcel Ausloos , Paulette Clippe , Andrzej Pekalski

This article provides a self-contained overview of the theory of rational asset price bubbles. We cover topics from basic definitions, properties, and classical results to frontier research, with an emphasis on bubbles attached to real…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-05 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

A generalized continuous economic model is proposed for random markets. In this model, agents interact by pairs and exchange their money in a random way. A parameter controls the effectiveness of the transactions between the agents. We show…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-11 R. Lopez-Ruiz , E. Shivanian , S. Abbasbandy , J. L. Lopez

We present a model describing the competition between information transmission and decision making in financial markets. The solution of this simple model is recalled, and possible variations discussed. It is shown numerically that despite…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 R. D'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers