English

Expectation bubbles in a spin model of markets: Intermittency from frustration across scales

Statistical Mechanics 2009-11-07 v2

Abstract

A simple spin model is studied, motivated by the dynamics of traders in a market where expectation bubbles and crashes occur. The dynamics is governed by interactions which are frustrated across different scales: While ferromagnetic couplings connect each spin to its local neighborhood, an additional coupling relates each spin to the global magnetization. This new coupling is allowed to be anti-ferromagnetic. The resulting frustration causes a metastable dynamics with intermittency and phases of chaotic dynamics. The model reproduces main observations of real economic markets as power-law distributed returns and clustered volatility.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.cond-mat/0105224,
  title  = {Expectation bubbles in a spin model of markets: Intermittency from frustration across scales},
  author = {Stefan Bornholdt},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:cond-mat/0105224},
  year   = {2009}
}

Comments

5 pages RevTeX, 5 figures eps, revised version