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200 papers

We analyze the timing and extent of Northern European temperature falls during the Little Ice Age, using standard temperature reconstructions. However, we can find little evidence of temporal dependence or structural breaks in European…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-21 Morgan Kelly , Cormac Ó Gráda

A prevailing viewpoint in palaeoclimate science is that a single palaeoclimate record contains insufficient information to discriminate between most competing explanatory models. Results we present here suggest the contrary. Using SMC^2…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-25 Jake Carson , Michel Crucifix , Simon Preston , Richard D. Wilkinson

In this brief report we discuss how continuous changes on the physical parameters that determine the weather conditions may lead to long term climate variability. This variability of the weather patterns are a response to continuous random…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-21 Orfeu Bertolami

The 100,000-year problem concerns the dominant period of glacial-interglacial cycles over the past 800,000 years and their correlation with Earth's orbital eccentricity, despite eccentricity's weak influence on solar radiation. Two theories…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-15 Liam Wheen

As many as 5 ice giants--Neptune-mass planets composed of 90% ice and rock and 10% hydrogen--are thought to form at heliocentric distances of 10-25 AU on closely packed orbits spaced ~5 Hill radii apart. Such oligarchies are ultimately…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Eric B. Ford , Eugene Chiang

Using an intermediate complexity climate model (Planet Simulator), we investigate the so-called Snowball Earth transition. For certain values of the solar constant, the climate system allows two different stable states: one of them is the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-05 Bálint Kaszás , Tímea Haszpra , Mátyás Herein

The mean world climate has warmed since the 19th Century as the anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases has increased the atmospheric opacity to thermal infrared radiation. Has this warming increased the frequency or severity of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-19 S. Wang , J. I Katz

The variations of water density and thermal conductivity of the oceans cold region waters according to their salinity lead to suggest an hypothesis of an oscillating climate between two extreme positions: a maximum of hot temperatures and a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ahmed Boucenna

Immediately after their formation, the terrestrial planets experienced intense impact bombardment by comets, leftover planetesimals from primary accretion, and asteroids. This temporal interval in solar system evolution, termed late…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-30 Stephen J. Mojzsis , Ramon Brasser , Nigel M. Kelly , Oleg Abramov , Stephanie C. Werner

The Earth's revolution is modified by changes in inclination of its rotation axis. Despite the fact that the gravity field is central, the Earth's trajectory is not closed and the equinoxes drift. Milankovic (1920) argued that the shortest…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-20 F. Lopes , V. Courtillot , D. Gibert , J-L. Le Mouël

Enceladus exhibits some remarkable phenomena, including water geysers spraying through surface cracks, a global ice shell that is librating atop an ocean, a large luminosity, and rapid outward orbital migration. Here we model the coupled…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-05 Peter Goldreich , Yoram Lithwick , Jing Luan

For decades, scientists have tried to explain the evidence for fluvial activity on early Mars, but a consensus has yet to emerge regarding the mechanism for producing it. One hypothesis suggests early Mars was warmed by a thick greenhouse…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-21 Natasha E. Batalha , Ravi K. Kopparapu , Jacob Haqq-Misra , James F. Kasting

During the Precambrian era, Earth's decelerating rotation would have passed a 21-hour period that would have been resonant with the semidiurnal atmospheric thermal tide. Near this point, the atmospheric torque would have been maximized,…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-05-24 Benjamin C. Bartlett , David J. Stevenson

In this study we used the sea surface temperature (SST), El-Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) time-series for the time period 1900-2012 in order to investigate plausible manifestation of sharp increases…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-08 Belolipetsky P. V. , Bartsev S. I. , Degermendzhi A. G. , Huang-Hsiung Hsu , Varotsos C. A.

The goal of this paper is to explore the potential multistability of the climate of a planet around the habitable zone. A thorough investigation of the thermodynamics of the climate system is performed for very diverse conditions of energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-05 Robert Boschi , Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale

The increase in glacial cycle length from approximately $41$ to on average $100$ thousand years around $1$ million years ago, called the Middle Pleistocene Transition (MPT), lacks a conclusive explanation. We describe a dynamical mechanism…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Karl H. M. Nyman , Peter D. Ditlevsen

Modeling globally averaged information on climate forcing from the land surface temperature data, the sea surface temperatures (SST) and the empirically determined relationship between the changes in SST and the turbulent diffusion of heat…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-07-20 Stjepan Marčelja

The debate over the early Martian climate is among the most intriguing in planetary science. Although the geologic evidence generally supports a warmer and wetter climate, climate models have had difficulty simulating such a scenario,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-12 Ramses M. Ramirez , Robert A. Craddock , Tomohiro Usui

The ability of a planet to maintain surface water, key to life as we know it, depends on solar and planetary energy. As a star ages, it delivers more energy to a planet. As a planet ages it produces less internal heat, which leads to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-29 Johnny Seales , Adrian Lenardic

Earth's energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere is a key climate system metric, but its natural variability is poorly constrained by the short observational record and large uncertainty in coupled climate models. While existing ocean…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Dominik Stiller , Gregory J. Hakim