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It is often known, from modelling studies, that a certain mode of climate tipping (of the oceanic thermohaline circulation, for example) is governed by an underlying fold bifurcation. For such a case we present a scheme of analysis that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-12-15 J. M. T. Thompson , Jan Sieber

The dynamics of glacial cycles is studied in terms of the dynamical systems theory. We explore the dependence of the climate state on the phase of astronomical forcing by examining five conceptual models of glacial cycles proposed in the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-07-03 Takahito Mitsui , Kazuyuki Aihara

The role of the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, volcanic and other aerosols, as well as the extraordinary solar activity of the late 20th century are discussed in the context of the warming since the mid-1970s.…

General Physics · Physics 2012-02-22 Gerald E. Marsh

This paper reports observations of regional and global upper stratosphere temperature (UST) and surface temperature, as well as various climate drivers including greenhouse gases (GHGs), ozone, aerosols, solar variability, snow cover…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-09 Qing-Bin Lu

We use continuous wavelet tools to characterize the dynamics of climate change across time and frequencies. This approach allows us to capture the changing patterns in the relationship between global mean temperature anomalies and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Luis Aguiar-Conraria , Vasco J. Gabriel , Luis F. Martins , Anthoulla Phella

Passing stars (also called stellar flybys) have notable effects on the solar system's long-term dynamical evolution, injection of Oort cloud comets into the solar system, properties of trans-Neptunian objects, and more. Based on a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-13 Richard E. Zeebe , David M. Hernandez

It is well acknowledged that the sequence of glacial-interglacial cycles is paced by the astronomical forcing. However, how much is the sequence robust against natural fluctuations associated, for example, with the chaotic motions of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-11-11 Takahito Mitsui , Michel Crucifix

The history of molecular oxygen (O$_2$) in Earth's atmosphere is still debated; however, geological evidence supports at least two major episodes where O$_2$ increased by an order of magnitude or more: the Great Oxidation Event (GOE) and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-12 Gregory Cooke , Dan Marsh , Catherine Walsh , Benjamin Black , Jean-François Lamarque

Cycling of carbon dioxide between the atmosphere and interior of rocky planets can stabilize global climate and enable planetary surface temperatures above freezing over geologic time. However, variations in global carbon budget and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-25 R. J. Graham , Tim Lichtenberg , Ray Pierrehumbert

Recent precise observations of solar global parameters are used to calibrate an upgraded solar model which takes into account magnetic fields in the solar interior. Historical data about sunspot numbers (from 1500 to the present) and solar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Sabatino Sofia , Linghuai H. Li

The aim of this study is to analyze the Earth habitability with respect to the direct exposition of the Earth atmosphere to the solar wind along the Suns evolution on the main sequence including the realistic evolution of the space weather…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-08 J. Varela , A. S. Brun , A. Strugarek , V. Reville , P. Zarka , F. Pantellini

When analyzing the mean-year trend of the Earth's surface temperature for the past 140 years one can discern two sections of monotone linear increase of temperature during two last industrial centuries. The first one begins somewhere in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Shaidurov

Sirenia are marine mammals that colonized the European shores up to 2.7 Ma. Their biodiversity evolution follows the climate evolution of the Cenozoic. However, several climate events, as well as the global climate trend of this Era are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-29 Francisco Cabral , Mario Cachao , Rui Jorge Agostinho , Goncalo Prista

Using an energy balance model with ice sheets, we examine the climate response of an Earth-like planet orbiting a G dwarf star and experiencing large orbital and obliquity variations. We find that ice caps couple strongly to the orbital…

This chapter investigates the complexities surrounding the iron biogeochemical cycle from the Archean to present, with a focus on assessing the balance between iron sources and sinks during long periods of Earth's history with relatively…

Standard solar models predict a solar luminosity that gradually increased by about 30% over the past 4.5 billion years. Under the faint sun, Earth should have been frozen solid for most of its existence. Yet, running water is observed to…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Nir J. Shaviv

The number of active volcanoes and its latitudinal extent is likely to be related to the magnitude of internal heat in rocky planets. A critical value of internal heat may require in these planets to sustain volcanic activity and the…

The liquid water habitable zone (HZ) describes the orbital distance at which a terrestrial planet can maintain above-freezing conditions through regulation by the carbonate-silicate cycle. Recent calculations have suggested that planets in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-24 Jacob Haqq-Misra , Ravi Kumar Kopparapu , Natasha E. Batalha , Chester E. Harman , James F. Kasting

One of the longstanding debates in the history of paleontology focuses on the issue of whether or not there have been long term cycles (operating over tens of millions of years) in biodiversity and extinction. Here we consider the history…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2012-06-11 B. S. Lieberman , A. L. Melott

Understanding when global glaciations occur on Earth-like planets is a major challenge in climate evolution research. Most models of how greenhouse gases like CO2 evolve with time on terrestrial planets are deterministic, but the complex,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 R. Wordsworth
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