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Risk contagion concerns any entity dealing with large scale risks. Suppose (X,Y) denotes a risk vector pertaining to two components in some system. A relevant measurement of risk contagion would be to quantify the amount of influence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen

We study dynamic risk measures in a very general framework enabling to model uncertainty and processes with jumps. We previously showed the existence of a canonical equivalence class of probability measures hidden behind a given set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Jocelyne Bion-Nadal , Magali Kervarec

In this paper, we investigate the distributions of random couples $(X,Y)$ with $X$ real-valued such that any non-negative integrable random variable $f(X)$ can be represented as a conditional expectation, $f(X)=\mathbb{E}[g(Y)|X]$, for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Julien Guyon , Thibault Jeannin , Benjamin Jourdain

We show that a wide class of risk-constrained nonconvex functional optimization problems exhibit strong duality, regardless of nonconvexity. We develop two novel results under distinct sets of assumptions, establishing strong duality over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Dionysis Kalogerias , Spyridon Pougkakiotis

We review the nature of some well-known phenomena such as volatility smiles, convexity adjustments and parallel derivative markets. We propose that the market is incomplete and postulate the existence of intrinsic risks in every contingent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-19 Truc Le

A subset $\{g_1, \ldots , g_d\}$ of a finite group $G$ invariably generates $G$ if $\{g_1^{x_1}, \ldots , g_d^{x_d}\}$ generates $G$ for every choice of $x_i \in G$. The Chebotarev invariant $C(G)$ of $G$ is the expected value of the random…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Andrea Lucchini

We study expansive measures for continuous flows without fixed points on compact metric spaces. We provide a new characterization of expansive measures through dynamical balls that, in contrast to the dynamical balls considered in [\emph{J.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Eduardo Pedrosa , Elias Rego , Alexandre Trilles

In this paper, we study properties of certain risk measures associated with acceptance sets. These sets describe regulatory preconditions that have to be fulfilled by financial institutions to pass a given acceptance test. If the financial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Marcel Marohn , Christiane Tammer

The family of admissible positions in a transaction costs model is a random closed set, which is convex in case of proportional transaction costs. However, the convexity fails, e.g. in case of fixed transaction costs or when only a finite…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Andreas Haier , Ilya Molchanov

We develop an assume-guarantee framework for control of large scale linear (time-varying) systems from finite-time reach and avoid or infinite-time invariance specifications. The contracts describe the admissible set of states and controls…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-18 Kasra Ghasemi , Sadra Sadraddini , Calin Belta

Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Oliver E. Richardson , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher De Sa

We consider translation-invariant interacting particle systems on the lattice with finite local state space admitting at least one Gibbs measure as a time-stationary measure. The dynamics can be irreversible but should satisfy some mild…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Benedikt Jahnel , Christof Kuelske

This paper studies the robustness of estimated policy effects to changes in the distribution of covariates, a key determinant of the external validity of (quasi)-experimental results. I propose a novel robustness metric $\delta^*$ which…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-27 Pietro Emilio Spini

In this paper, we consider a risk-averse decision problem for controlled-diffusion processes, with dynamic risk measures, in which multiple risk-averse agents choose their decisions in such a way to minimize their individual accumulated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Getachew K. Befekadu , Eduardo L. Pasiliao

When estimating an effect of an action with a randomized or observational study, that study is often not a random sample of the desired target population. Instead, estimates from that study can be transported to the target population.…

Expectiles were introduced by Newey and Powell (1987) in the context of linear regression models. Recently, Bellini et al. (2014) revealed that expectiles can also be seen as reasonable law-invariant risk measures. In this article, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Volker Krätschmer , Henryk Zähle

The present paper provides a representation result for monetary risk measures (i.e., monotone translation invariant functionals) satisfying a weak maxitivity property. This result can be understood as a functional analytic generalization of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-13 José Miguel Zapata

Let $\{\mu(\cdot,t):t\geq0\}$ be the family of probability measures corresponding to the solution of the inelastic Kac model introduced in Pulvirenti and Toscani [\textit{J. Stat. Phys.} \textbf{114} (2004) 1453-1480]. It has been proved by…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Andrea Bonomi , Eleonora Perversi , Eugenio Regazzini

In this paper, we propose a novel axiomatic approach to evaluating the joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty. Motivated by both the theory of expected utility and the Cobb-Dauglas utility function, we establish…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

We consider robust covariance estimation with group symmetry constraints. Non-Gaussian covariance estimation, e.g., Tyler scatter estimator and Multivariate Generalized Gaussian distribution methods, usually involve non-convex minimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-19 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel