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In this work we investigate tick-by-tick data provided by the TRTH database for several stocks on three different exchanges (Paris - Euronext, London and Frankfurt - Deutsche B\"orse) and on a 5-year span. We use a simple algorithm that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ioane Muni Toke

We consider Markov chains with random transition probabilities which, moreover, fluctuate randomly with time. We describe such a system by a product of stochastic matrices, $U(t)=M_t\cdots M_1$, with the factors $M_i$ drawn independently…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-11-14 G. C. P. Innocentini , M. Novaes

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

We consider the problem of reconstructing the cross--power spectrum of an unobservable multivariate stochatic process from indirect measurements of a second multivariate stochastic process, related to the first one through a linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Elisabetta Vallarino , Sara Sommariva , Michele Piana , Alberto Sorrentino

Empirical analysis of the foreign exchange market is conducted based on methods to quantify similarities among multi-dimensional time series with spectral distances introduced in [A.-H. Sato, Physica A, 382 (2007) 258--270]. As a result it…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Aki-Hiro Sato

We measure the influence of different time-scales on the dynamics of financial market data. This is obtained by decomposing financial time series into simple oscillations associated with distinct time-scales. We propose two new time-varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Noemi Nava , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

We present a detailed analysis and implementation of a splitting strategy to identify simultaneously the local-volatility surface and the jump-size distribution from quoted European prices. The underlying model consists of a jump-diffusion…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-07 Vinicius Albani , Jorge Zubelli

In this work, we consider Dirac-type operators with a constant delay less than half of the interval and not less than two-fifths of the interval. For our considered Dirac-type operators, two inverse spectral problems are studied.…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Feng Wang , Chuan-Fu Yang

We study a an optimal high frequency trading problem within a market microstructure model designed to be a good compromise between accuracy and tractability. The stock price is driven by a Markov Renewal Process (MRP), while market orders…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-06 Pietro Fodra , Huyên Pham

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

Detailed study of multifractal characteristics of the financial time series of asset values and of its returns is performed using a collection of the high frequency Deutsche Aktienindex data. The tail index ($\alpha$), the Renyi exponents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Z. Gorski , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

Previous studies of the stock price response to individual trades focused on single stocks. We empirically investigate the price response of one stock to the trades of other stocks. How large is the impact of one stock on others and vice…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-17 Shanshan Wang , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

We propose a pairs trading model that incorporates a time-varying volatility of the Constant Elasticity of Variance type. Our approach is based on stochastic control techniques; given a fixed time horizon and a portfolio of two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-05 T. N. Li , A. Tourin

In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading volume amounts when the dynamics of the risky asset returns are governed by a discrete-time approximation of the Markov-modulated geometric…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-07 Vladimir Dombrovskii , Tatyana Obyedko

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

An attempt to obtain market directional information from non-stationary solution of the dynamic equation: "future price tends to the value maximizing the number of shares traded per unit time" is presented. A remarkable feature of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-11 Vladislav Gennadievich Malyshkin , Mikhail Gennadievich Belov

Quantitative understanding of stochastic dynamics in limit order price changes is essential for execution strategy design. We analyze intraday transition dynamics of ask and bid orders across market capitalization tiers using high-frequency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Salam Rabindrajit Luwang , Kundan Mukhia , Buddha Nath Sharma , Md. Nurujjaman , Anish Rai , Filippo Petroni

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

To ensure reliable operation of power grids, their frequency shall stay within strict bounds. Multiple sources of disturbances cause fluctuations of the grid frequency, ranging from changing demand over volatile feed-in to energy trading.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Benjamin Schäfer , Marc Timme , Dirk Witthaut