Related papers: Activity spectrum from waiting-time distribution
We consider an active Brownian particle in a $d$-dimensional harmonic trap, in the presence of translational diffusion. While the Fokker-Planck equation can not in general be solved to obtain a closed form solution of the joint distribution…
The aim of this work is to investigate the qualitative behaviour of a financial dynamical system which contains a time delay. We investigate the dynamic response of this system of which variables are interest rate, investment demand, price…
For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…
We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday return are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process and the…
Dynamical processes on time-varying complex networks are key to understanding and modeling a broad variety of processes in socio-technical systems. Here we focus on empirical temporal networks of human proximity and we aim at understanding…
We pose the estimation and predictability of stock market performance. Three cases are taken: US, Japan, Germany, the monthly index of the value of realized investment in stocks, prices plus the value of dividend payments (OECD data). Once…
Further development of the method of computational experiments for solving ill-posed problems is given. The effective (unoverstated) estimate for solution error of the first-kind equation is obtained using the truncating singular numbers…
Increased day-trading activity and the subsequent jump in intraday volatility and trading volume fluctuations has raised considerable interest in models for financial market microstructure. We investigate the random transitions between two…
A point process for event arrivals in high frequency trading is presented. The intensity is the product of a Hawkes process and high dimensional functions of covariates derived from the order book. Conditions for stationarity of the process…
We consider the random iteration of finitely many expanding $\mathcal{C}^{1+\epsilon}$ diffeomorphisms on the real line without a common fixed point. We derive the spectral gap property of the associated transition operator acting on…
The time proximity of high-frequency trades can contain a salient signal. In this paper, we propose a method to classify every trade, based on its proximity with other trades in the market within a short period of time, into five types. By…
We consider a stochastic game between a slow institutional investor and a high-frequency trader who are trading a risky asset and their aggregated order-flow impacts the asset price. We model this system by means of two coupled stochastic…
For the class of noisy time-delay linear consensus networks, we obtain explicit formulas for risk of large fluctuations of a scalar observable as a function of Laplacian spectrum and its eigenvectors. It is shown that there is an intrinsic…
All available experimental data for the $\Delta I=2$ transition energies in superdeformed bands are analyzed by using a new one-point formula. The existence of deviations from the smooth behavior is confirmed in many bands. However, we…
With the rapid growth of data, how to extract effective information from data is one of the most fundamental problems. In this paper, based on Tikhonov regularization, we propose an effective method for reconstructing the function and its…
We investigate the hitting times of random walks on graphs, where a hitting time is defined as the number of steps required for a random walker to move from one node to another. While much of the existing literature focuses on calculating…
We investigate intra-day foreign exchange (FX) time series using the inverse statistic analysis developed in [1,2]. Specifically, we study the time-averaged distributions of waiting times needed to obtain a certain increase (decrease)…
We adapt continuous time random walk (CTRW) formalism to describe asset price evolution and discuss some of the problems that can be treated using this approach. We basically focus on two aspects: (i) the derivation of the price…
Commonly used limit order book attributes are empirically considered based on NASDAQ ITCH data. It is shown that some of them have the properties drastically different from the ones assumed in many market dynamics study. Because of this…
We study the time dependent cross correlations of stock returns, i.e. we measure the correlation as the function of the time shift between pairs of stock return time series using tick-by-tick data. We find a weak but significant effect…