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The evaluation of possible climate change consequence on extreme rainfall has significant implications for the design of engineering structure and socioeconomic resources development. While many studies have assessed the impact of climate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-02 Poulomi Ganguli , Paulin Coulibaly

The El Ni\~no phenomenon, synonymously El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), is an anomalous climatic oscillation in the Equatorial Pacific that occurs once every 3-8 years. It affects the earth's climate on a global scale. Whether it is a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Debabrata Panja , Gerrit Burgers

This study investigates temporal variability in U.S. climate using harmonic decomposition techniques, specifically Fourier and wavelet transforms. Monthly temperature, precipitation, and drought index data from the National Oceanic and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-13 Thomas Xiao

An Arctic cyclone, Ex-Typhoon Halong, produced strong winds and devastating flooding in southwestern Alaska during 11-12 October 2025. This study examines the evolution of Halong after its transition into an extratropical cyclone through…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-12 Mingshi Yang , Zhuo Wang , John E. Walsh , James D. Doyle , Richard L. Thoman , Alice K. DuVivier

Projected changes in summer precipitation deficits partly depend on alterations in synoptic circulations. Here, the automated Jenkinson-Collison (JC) classification is used to assess the ability of twenty-one Global Climate Models (GCMs) to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-22 P. Herrera-Lormendez , A. John , H. Douville , J. Matschullat

The strengthening of the zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient observed in the tropical Pacific in recent decades is a regional climate change signal that may be outside the range of historical simulations with comprehensive climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-06 Timothy M. Merlis

It is shown that condensation and precipitation do not disturb the hydrostatic equilibrium if the local pressure sink (condensation rate expressed in pressure units) is proportional to the local pressure, with a proportionality coefficient…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Andrei V. Nefiodov

The skill of seasonal precipitation forecasts is assessed worldwide -grid point by grid point- for the forty-years period 1961-2000. To this aim, the ENSEMBLES multi-model hindcast is considered. Although predictability varies with region,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-04-20 R. Manzanas , M. D. Frías , A. S. Cofiño , J. M. Gutiérrez

In this paper, we propose a deep learning-based model to detect extratropical cyclones (ETCs) of northern hemisphere, while developing a novel workflow of processing images and generating labels for ETCs. We first label the cyclone center…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Minjing Shi , Pengfei He , Yuli Shi

Variations in zonal surface temperature gradients and zonally asymmetric tropical overturning circulations (Walker circulations) are examined over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized atmospheric general circulation model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 Timothy M. Merlis , Tapio Schneider

Stratocumulus clouds cover about a fifth of Earths surface, and due to their albedo and low-latitude location, they have a strong effect on Earths radiation budget. Previous studies using Large Eddy Simulations have shown that multiple…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-05 Andrea M. Salazar , Eli Tziperman

Hurricanes and, more generally, tropical cyclones (TCs) are rare, complex natural phenomena of both scientific and public interest. The importance of understanding TCs in a changing climate has increased as recent TCs have had devastating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-24 Niccolò Dalmasso , Robin Dunn , Benjamin LeRoy , Chad Schafer

Attribution of climate impacts to natural and anthropogenic source forcings is essential for understanding and addressing climate effects. While standard methods like optimal fingerprinting have been effective for long-term changes, they…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-25 Christopher R. Wentland , Michael Weylandt , Laura P. Swiler , Diana L. Bull

Global warming is projected to intensify the hydrological cycle, amplifying risks to ecosystems and society. While extreme rainfall appears to exhibit stronger sensitivity to global warming compared to mean rainfall rates, a unifying…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Jun Yin , Bei Gao , Amilcare Porporato

The strength of mid-latitude storm tracks shapes weather and climate phenomena in the extra-tropics, as these storm tracks control the daily to multi-decadal variability of precipitation, temperature and winds. By the end of this century,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-03 Rei Chemke , Yi Ming , Janni Yuval

This paper studies the chaotic behavior of hydrosphere and its influence on global weather and climate. We give mathematical arguments for the sea surface temperature (SST) to be unpredictable over the global ocean. The impact of SST…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-01-04 Marat Akhmet , Mehmet Onur Fen , Ejaily Milad Alejaily

Prediction of the shocks' arrival times (SATs) at the Earth is very important for space weather forecast. There is a well-known SAT model, STOA, which is widely used in the space weather forecast. However, the shock transit time from STOA…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-16 H. -L. Liu , G. Qin

Our goal is to quantify whether, and if so how, spatio-temporal patterns in tropical cyclone (TC) satellite imagery signal an upcoming rapid intensity change event. To address this question, we propose a new nonparametric test of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-29 Trey McNeely , Galen Vincent , Kimberly M. Wood , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

With the global population on the rise, our cities have been expanding to accommodate the growing number of people. The expansion of cities generally leads to the engulfment of peripheral areas. However, such expansion of urban areas is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-09 Sudipan Saha , Tushar Verma , Dario Augusto Borges Oliveira

Oceanic atmospheric oscillations and climate variability are tightly linked and both exhibit broad band spectral content that ranges, with roughly equal strength, from annual to centennial periodicity. The explanation for variability based…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-23 Ian R. Edmonds
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