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In this article, we fill a gap in the literature regarding quantitative functional central limit theorems (qfCLT) for Hawkes processes by providing an upper bound for the convergence of a nearly unstable Hawkes process toward a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Laure Coutin , Benjamin Massat , Anthony Réveillac

Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bojan Basrak , Danijel Krizmanić , Johan Segers

In this paper we prove a central limit theorem for some probability measures defined as asymtotic densities of integer sets defined via sum-of-digit-function. To any integer a we can associate a measure on Z called $\mu$a such that, for any…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-22 Jordan Emme , Pascal Hubert

This paper studies beta ensembles on the real line in a high temperature regime, that is, the regime where $\beta N \to const \in (0, \infty)$, with $N$ the system size and $\beta$ the inverse temperature. In this regime, the convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Fumihiko Nakano , Khanh Duy Trinh

Using a central limit theorem for arrays of interacting quantum systems, we give analytical expressions for the density of states and the partition function at finite temperature of such a system, which are valid in the limit of infinite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Michael Hartmann , Guenter Mahler , Ortwin Hess

If time is described by a fundamental process rather than a coordinate, it interacts with any physical system that evolves in time. The resulting dynamics is shown here to be consistent provided the fundamental period of the time system is…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-07-07 Garrett Wendel , Luis Martinez , Martin Bojowald

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

We study the default risk in incomplete information. That means, we model the value of a firm by one L\'evy process which is the sum of brownian motion with drift and compound Poisson process. This L\'evy process can not be observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Waly Ngom

We study the asymptotic behavior of empirical processes generated by measurable bounded functions of an infinite source Poisson transmission process when the session length have infinite variance. In spite of the boundedness of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 François Roueff , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Philippe Soulier

In this work we investigate limit theorems for the time-averaged process $\left(\frac{1}{t}\int_0^t X_s^x ds\right)_{t\geq 0}$ where $X^x$ is a subcritical continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI processes) starting in $x…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Mariem Abdellatif , Martin Friesen , Peter Kuchling , Barbara Rüdiger

We observe the actions of a $K$ sub-sample of $N$ individuals up to time $t$ for some large $K\le N$. We model the relationships of individuals by i.i.d. Bernoulli($p$)-random variables, where $p\in (0,1]$ is an unknown parameter. The rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-20 Chenguang Liu

In the averaging process on a graph $G = (V, E)$, a random mass distribution $\eta$ on $V$ is repeatedly updated via transformations of the form $\eta_{v}, \eta_{w} \mapsto (\eta_{v} + \eta_{w})/2$, with updates made according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Austin Eide

When the limiting compensator of a sequence of martingales is continuous, we obtain a weak convergence theorem for the martingales; the limiting process can be written as a Brownian motion evaluated at the compensator and we find sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Bruno Rémillard , Jean Vaillancourt

This document presents the statistical methods used to process low-level measurements in the presence of noise. These methods can be classical or Bayesian. The question is placed in the general framework of the problem of nuisance…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2024-03-20 Guillaume Manificat , Salima Helali , Patrick Bouisset

Motivated by recent studies of record statistics in relation to strongly correlated time series, we consider explicitly the drawdown time of a Levy process, which is defined as the time since it last achieved its running maximum when…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Richard J. Martin , Michael J. Kearney

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

The hierarchical Pitman-Yor process is a discrete random measure used as a prior in Bayesian nonparametrics. It is motivated by the study of groups of clustered data exhibiting power law behavior. Our focus in this paper is on the Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Shui Feng , J. E. Paguyo

We consider the continued fraction digits as random variables measured with respect to Lebesgue measure. The logarithmically scaled and normalized fluctuation process of the digit sums converges strongly distributional to a random variable…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-24 Marc Kesseböhmer , Mehdi Slassi

We consider a class of self-similar, continuous Gaussian processes that do not necessarily have stationary increments. We prove a version of the Breuer-Major theorem for this class, that is, subject to conditions on the covariance function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Daniel Harnett , David Nualart

We prove large deviation principles for two versions of fractional Poisson processes. Firstly we consider the main version which is a renewal process; we also present large deviation estimates for the ruin probabilities of an insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci
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