Related papers: Predicting the Last Zero of Brownian Motion with D…

The problem of detecting a change in the drift of a Brownian motion is considered. The change point is assumed to have a modified exponential prior distribution with unknown parameters. A worst-case analysis with respect to these parameters…

Let $\tau$ be the first hitting time of the point 1 by the geometric Brownian motion $X(t)= x \exp(B(t)-2\mu t)$ with drift $\mu \geq 0$ starting from $x>1$. Here $B(t)$ is the Brownian motion starting from 0 with $E^0 B^2(t) = 2t$. We…

We consider the optimal stopping problem $v^{(\eps)}:=\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal{T}_{0,T}}\mathbb{E}B_{(\tau-\eps)^+}$ posed by Shiryaev at the International Conference on Advanced Stochastic Optimization Problems organized by the Steklov…

Last passage times arise in a number of areas of applied probability, including risk theory and degradation models. Such times are obviously not stopping times since they depend on the whole path of the underlying process. We consider the…

For drifted Brownian motion $X(t)= x - \mu t + B_t \ (\mu >0)$ starting from $x>0,$ we study the joint distribution of the first-passage time below zero, $\tau(x),$ and the first-passage area, $A(x),$ swept out by $X$ till the time…

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in two or more dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservable time, one of the coordinate processes gets a…

We solve optimal stopping problems for an oscillating Brownian motion, i.e. a diffusion with positive piecewise constant volatility changing at the point $x=0$. Let $\sigma_1$ and $\sigma_2$ denote the volatilities on the negative and…

In this article we consider a Brownian motion with drift of the form \[dS_t=\mu_t dt+dB_t\qquadfor t\ge0,\] with a specific nontrivial $(\mu_t)_{t\geq0}$, predictable with respect to $\mathbb{F}^B$, the natural filtration of the Brownian…

We investigate the structural properties of the last passage time $\sigma_z^{\lambda}$ at level $z > 0$ of a Brownian motion with positive drift $\lambda > 0$, denoted $B^{\lambda} = (B_t + \lambda t)_{t \geq 0}$, in the filtration…

We study solutions of a class of one-dimensional continuous reflected backward stochastic Volterra integral equations driven by Brownian motion, where the reflection keeps the solution above a given stochastic process (lower obstacle). We…

We propose a recursive algorithm for the numerical computation of the optimal value function $\inf_{t\le\tau\le T} E \Big[\sup_{0\le s\le T } Y_s / Y_{\tau} \big| {\cal F}_t\Big]$ over the stopping times $\tau$ with respect to the…

We present a constructive probabilistic proof of the fact that if $B=(B_t)_{t\ge0}$ is standard Brownian motion started at $0$, and $\mu$ is a given probability measure on $\mathbb{R}$ such that $\mu(\{0\})=0$, then there exists a unique…

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process, we predict, in a $L_1$ sense, the last passage time of the process below zero before an independent exponential time. This optimal prediction problem generalises Baurdoux and Pedraza (2020) where…

We solve the problem of optimal stopping of a Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the stopping time's distribution is a given measure consisting of finitely-many atoms. In particular, we show that this problem can be converted to…

For classical finite time horizon stopping problems driven by a Brownian motion \[V(t,x) = \sup_{t\leq\tau\leq0}E_{(t,x)}[g(\tau,W_{\tau})],\] we derive a new class of Fredholm type integral equations for the stopping set. For large problem…

This work examines the problem of sequential detection of a change in the drift of a Brownian motion in the case of two-sided alternatives. Applications to real life situations in which two-sided changes can occur are discussed.…

In this paper we study the drifted Brownian meander, that is a Brownian motion starting from $ u $ and subject to the condition that $ \min_{ 0\leq z \leq t} B(z)> v $ with $ u > v $. The limiting process for $ u \downarrow v $ is analyzed…

We consider a Brownian motion (BM) $x(\tau)$ and its maximal value $x_{\max} = \max_{0 \leq \tau \leq t} x(\tau)$ on a fixed time interval $[0,t]$. We study functionals of the maximum of the BM, of the form ${\cal O}_{\max}(t)=\int_0^t\,…

Let $X$ be a linear diffusion and $f$ a non-negative, Borel measurable function. We are interested in finding conditions on $X$ and $f$ which imply that the perpetual integral functional $$ I^X_\infty(f):=\int_0^\infty f(X_t) dt $$ is…

We consider a fractional Brownian motion with unknown linear drift such that the drift coefficient has a prior normal distribution and construct a sequential test for the hypothesis that the drift is positive versus the alternative that it…