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The measure problem of cosmology is how to assign normalized probabilities to observations in a universe so large that it may have many observations occurring at many different spacetime locations. I have previously shown how the Boltzmann…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2011-06-13 Don N. Page

Many cosmologists (myself included) have advocated volume weighting for the cosmological measure problem, weighting spatial hypersurfaces by their volume. However, this often leads to the Boltzmann brain problem, that almost all…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-03-27 Don N. Page

In cosmology, we would like to explain our observations and predict future observations from theories of the entire universe. Such cosmological theories make ontological assumptions of what entities exist and what their properties and…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2014-12-25 Don N. Page

The measure problem of cosmology is how to obtain normalized probabilities of observations from the quantum state of the universe. This is particularly a problem when eternal inflation leads to a universe of unbounded size so that there are…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-19 Don N. Page

To make predictions for an eternally inflating "multiverse", one must adopt a procedure for regulating its divergent spacetime volume. Recently, a new test of such spacetime measures has emerged: normal observers - who evolve in pocket…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-11-18 Andrea De Simone , Alan H. Guth , Andrei Linde , Mahdiyar Noorbala , Michael P. Salem , Alexander Vilenkin

In ordinary situations involving a small part of the universe, Born's rule seems to work well for calculating probabilities of observations in quantum theory. However, there are a number of reasons for believing that it is not adequate for…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-10-14 Don N. Page

This paper considers a new and deeply challenging face of the problem of time in the context of cosmology drawing on the work of Thiemann (2006, 2007). Thiemann argues for a radical response to the cosmic problem of time that requires us to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-05-09 Nicola Bamonti , Karim P. Y. Thébault

Observational cosmology provides us with a large number of high precision data which are used to derive models trying to reproduce ``on the mean'' our observable patch of the Universe. Most of these attempts are achieved in the framework of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-10 Marie-Noëlle Célérier

We study the quantum measurement problem in the context of an infinite, statistically uniform space, as could be generated by eternal inflation. It has recently been argued that when identical copies of a quantum measurement system exist,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-05-29 Anthony Aguirre , Max Tegmark

Most versions of classical physics imply that if the 4-volume of the entire space-time is infinite or at least extremely large, then random fluctuations in the matter will by coincidence create copies of us in remote places, so called…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-12-06 Roderich Tumulka

[Abridged] Some cosmological theories propose that the observable universe is a small part of a much larger universe in which parameters describing the low-energy laws of physics vary from region to region. How can we reasonably assess a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-04 Feraz Azhar , Alan H. Guth , Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

We show that most of cutoff measures of the multiverse violate some of the basic properties of probability theory when applied repeatedly to predict the results of local experiments. Starting from minimal assumptions, such as Markov…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2011-01-21 Mahdiyar Noorbala , Vitaly Vanchurin

I explain the difficulty of making various concepts of and relating to probability precise, rigorous and physically significant when attempting to apply them in reasoning about objects (e.g., spacetimes) living in infinite-dimensional…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-09-08 Erik Curiel

The matching of our epoch of existence with the approximate equality of dark energy and dark matter energy densities is an apparent further fine-tuning, beyond the already troubling 120 orders of magnitude that separate dark energy from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-04-17 Navin Sivanandam

Predictions in an eternally inflating multiverse are meaningless unless we specify the probability measure. The scale-factor cutoff is perhaps the simplest and most successful measure which avoid catastrophic problems such as the youngness…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-02-19 Alexander Vilenkin , Masaki Yamada

Astrophysical observations provide a picture of the universe as a 4-dim homogeneous and isotropic flat space-time dominated by an unknown form of dark energy. To achieve such a cosmology one has to consider in the early universe an…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 F. Canfora , A. Troisi

Cosmological fine-tuning has traditionally been associated with the narrowness of the intervals in which the parameters of the physical models must be located to make life possible. A more thorough approach focuses on the probability of the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-04-26 Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , Ola Hössjer , Robert J. Marks

Theorists are often told to express things in the "observational plane". One can do this for space-time geometry, considering "visual" observations of matter in our universe by a single observer over time, with no assumptions about…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2012-11-20 Albert Stebbins

Problems with uniform probabilities on an infinite support show up in contemporary cosmology. This paper focuses on the context of inflation theory, where it complicates the assignment of a probability measure over pocket universes. The…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2023-09-11 Sylvia Wenmackers

Modern scientific cosmology pushes the boundaries of knowledge and the knowable. This is prompting questions on the nature of scientific knowledge. A central issue is what defines a 'good' model. When addressing global properties of the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2018-12-12 Martin Sahlén
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