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We consider a model for systemic risk comprising of a system of diffusion processes, interacting through their empirical mean. Each process is subject to a confining double-well potential with some uncertainty in the coefficients,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Alexander Alecio

This study examines the challenges of modeling complex and noisy data related to socioeconomic factors over time, with a focus on data from various districts in Odisha, India. Traditional time-series models struggle to capture both trends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Sandeep Kumar Samota , Reema Gupta , Snehashish Chakraverty

For a class of $(N+1)$-dimensional systems of differential delay equations with a cyclic and monotone negative feedback structure, we construct a two-dimensional invariant manifold, on which phase curves spiral outward towards a bounding…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Anatoli F. Ivanov , Bernhard Lani-Wayda

This paper studies the problem of stability of a parameterized delay differential equations (DDE see equation (0.1)). After discretizing the DDE (0.1), we show that the problem can be equivalently casted into a semi-definite programming…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-03 Dongcai Su

We study the relationship between the El Ni\~no--Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian summer monsoon in ensemble simulations from state-of-the-art climate models, the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) and the Community…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Mátyás Herein , Gábor Drótos , Tamás Bódai , Frank Lunkeit , Valerio Lucarini

We demonstrate an alternative correlation between the El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global temperature variation to that shown by McLean et al. [2009]. We show 50% of the variation in RATPAC-A tropospheric temperature (and 54%…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-14 David R. B. Stockwell , Anthony Cox

The paper discusses linear fractional representations of parameter-dependent nonlinear systems with dynamics defined by real rational nonlinearities and a finite set of point delays. The global asymptotic stability is investigated via…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-03-27 M. De la Sen

In this article, we introduce a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) consisting of time-dependent covariates and consider both fixed and random effects set-ups. We also allow the functional part associated with the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The Lorenz '96 model is an adjustable dimension system of ODEs exhibiting chaotic behavior representative of dynamics observed in the Earth's atmosphere. In the present study, we characterize statistical properties of the chaotic dynamics…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-18 Morgan R. Frank , Lewis Mitchell , Peter Sheridan Dodds , Christopher M. Danforth

Low-order climate models can play an important role in understanding low-frequency variability in the atmospheric circulation and how forcing consistent with anthropogenic climate change may affect this variability. Here, we study a…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-04 Bernardo Maraldi , Henk Dijkstra , Michael Ghil

Universal role of the nonlinear one-third subharmonic resonance mechanism in generation of the strong fluctuations in such complex natural dynamical systems as global climate and global solar activity is discussed using wavelet regression…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-11-28 A. Bershadskii

We consider the scalar delay differential equation $$ \dot{x}(t)=-x(t)+f_{K}(x(t-1)) $$ with a nondecreasing feedback function $f_{K}$ depending on a parameter $K$, and we verify that a saddle-node bifurcation of periodic orbits takes place…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Szandra Guzsvány , Gabriella Vas

We propose a coupled system for the nonlinear interaction between high-frequency, circularly polarized, intense electromagnetic (EM) waves and low-frequency electron-density perturbations, driven by the EM-wave ponderomotive force, in an…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 S. Roy , S. Das Adhikary , A. P. Misra

The data generated by long-delayed dynamical systems can be organized in patterns by means of the so-called spatio-temporal representation, uncovering the role of multiple time-scales as independent degrees of freedom. However, their…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-19 Francesco Marino , Giovanni Giacomelli

Some dynamical properties present in a problem concerning the acceleration of particles in a wave packet are studied. The dynamics of the model is described in terms of a two-dimensional area preserving map. We show that the phase space is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-09-14 Diego F. M. Oliveira , Marko Robnik , Edson D. Leonel

A network of noisy bistable elements with global time-delayed couplings is considered. A dichotomous mean field model has recently been developed describing the collective dynamics in such systems with uniform time delays near the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Daniel Huber , Lev Tsimring

This paper investigates the stability properties of a nonlinear fractional differential equation with two discrete delays and a delay-dependent coefficient. Such equations arise in various biological and control systems where temporal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Pragati Dutta , Sachin Bhalekar

We investigate a low-dimensional slow-fast model to understand the dynamical origin of El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation. A close inspection of the system dynamics using several bifurcation plots reveals that a sudden large expansion of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-23 Arnob Ray , Sarbendu Rakshit , Gopal K. Basak , Syamal K. Dana , Dibakar Ghosh

As offered by the World Health Organisation (WHO), close to half of the population in the world's resides in dengue-risk zones. Dengue viruses are transmitted to individuals by Aedes mosquito species infected bite (Ae. Albopictus of Ae.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-12 Burcu Gürbüz , Aytül Gökçe , Segun I. Oke , Michael O. Adeniyi , Mayowa M. Ojo

There are many kinds of models which describe the dynamics of dark energy (DE). Among all we adopt an equation of state (EoS) which varies as a function of time. We adopt Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to constrain the five parameters of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-15 R. Ichimasa , E. P. B. A. Thushari , M. Hashimoto