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We characterize the complex, heavy-tailed probability distribution functions (pdf) describing the response and its local extrema for structural systems subjected to random forcing that includes extreme events. Our approach is based on the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Han Kyul Joo , Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

The present paper is devoted to the relativistic statistical theory, introduced in Phys. Rev. E {\bf 66} (2002) 056125 and Phys. Rev. E {\bf 72} (2005) 036108, predicting the particle distribution function $p(E)= \exp_{\kappa}…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-12-20 G. Kaniadakis

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Power laws are a characteristic distribution that are ubiquitous, in that they are found almost everywhere, in both natural as well as in man-made systems. They tend to emerge in large, connected and self-organizing systems, for example,…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Sumit Kumar Banshal , Aparna Basu , Vivek Kumar Singh , Solanki Gupta , Pranab K. Muhuri

Continuous-time branching processes describe the evolution of a population whose individuals generate a random number of children according to a birth process. Such branching processes can be used to understand preferential attachment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Alessandro Garavaglia , Remco van der Hofstad , Gerhard Woeginger

How to estimate the uncertainty of a given model is a crucial problem. Current calibration techniques treat different classes equally and thus implicitly assume that the distribution of training data is balanced, but ignore the fact that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Jiahao Chen , Bing Su

A family of wave packets with power law tails are employed to analyze the long time dependence of the corresponding probability density. The densities, associated to packets for free particles in the one-dimensional space, with sufficiently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. S. Mendes , C. Anteneodo

The Hill estimator is often used to infer the power behavior in tails of experimental distribution functions. This estimator is known to produce bad results in certain situations which have lead to the so-called Hill horror plots. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Jean Nuyts

Some new survival distributions are introduced based on a generalised exponential function. This class of distributions includes heavy-tailed generalisations of exponential, Weibull and gamma distributions. Properties of the distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-03 Rose Baker

Several populational networks present complex topologies when implemented in evolutionary algorithms. A common feature of these topologies is the emergence of a power law. Power law behavior with different scaling factors can also be…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-08 Francisco Leonardo Bezerra Martins , José Cláudio do Nascimento

Heavy-tailed distributions are frequently used to enhance the robustness of regression and classification methods to outliers in output space. Often, however, we are confronted with "outliers" in input space, which are isolated observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-06-24 Fabian L. Wauthier , Michael I. Jordan

To know the statistical distribution of a variable is an important problem in management of resources. Distributions of the power law type are observed in many real systems. However power law distributions have an infinite variance and thus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Hari M. Gupta , Jose R. Campanha

Analytical and numerical studies on many-body stochastic processes with multiplicative interactions are reviewed. The method of moment relations is used to investigate effects of asymmetry and randomness in interactions. Probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Akihiro Fujihara , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto

One of the first steps to understand and forecast economic downturns is identifying their frequency distribution, but it remains uncertain. This problem is common in phenomena displaying power-law-like distributions. Power laws play a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-10-10 Salvador Pueyo

The normal distribution and its perturbation has left an immense mark on the statistical literature. Hence, several generalized forms were developed to model different skewness, kurtosis, and body shapes. However, it is not easy to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Matthias Wagener , Mohammad Arashi

Human activities can play a crucial role in the statistical properties of observables in many complex systems such as social, technological and economic systems. We demonstrate this by looking into the heavy-tailed distributions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-08-24 Jie-Jun Tseng , Ming-Jer Lee , Sai-Ping Li

We show that a simple mechanistic model of spatial dispersal for settling organisms, subject to parameter variability, can generate heavy-tailed radial probability density functions. The movement of organisms in the model consists of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-23 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

It was observed that the number of cases and deaths for infectious diseases were associated with heavy-tailed power law distributions such as the Pareto distribution. While Pareto distribution was widely used to model the cases and deaths…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-29 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda

Linear systems with many degrees of freedom containing multiplicative and additive noise are considered. The steady state probability distribution for equations of this kind is examined. With multiplicative white noise it is shown that…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 J. M. Deutsch

``When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure'', this adage is known as {\it Goodhart's law}. In this paper, we investigate formally this law and prove that it critically depends on the tail distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-15 El-Mahdi El-Mhamdi , Lê-Nguyên Hoang