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We study the rough asymptotic behaviour of a general economic risk model in a discrete setting. Both financial and insurance risks are taken into account. Loss during the first $n$ years is modelled as a random variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-25 Jaakko Lehtomaa

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

We develop an agent-based simulation of the catastrophe insurance and reinsurance industry and use it to study the problem of risk model homogeneity. The model simulates the balance sheets of insurance firms, who collect premiums from…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-21 Torsten Heinrich , Juan Sabuco , J. Doyne Farmer

We consider the multivariate risk model with common renewal process among the lines of business, and Brownian perturbations. Assuming that the integrated tail distribution of claims is multivariate subexponential, we establish an asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides

In these notes, we present some methods and applications of large deviations to finance and insurance. We begin with the classical ruin problem related to the Cramer's theorem and give en extension to an insurance model with investment in…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Huyen Pham

We consider a two-dimensional optimal dividend problem in the context of two branches of an insurance company with compound Poisson surplus processes dividing claims and premia in some specified proportions. We solve the stochastic control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Pablo Azcue , Nora Muler , Zbigniew Palmowski

We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Noriyoshi Sakuma , Momoka Tashiro

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

Numerical evaluation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model is an important problem. If claim sizes are heavy-tailed, then such evaluations are challenging. To overcome this, an attractive way is to approximate the claim sizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-25 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

In this paper we study the draw-down related Parisian ruin problem for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy risk processes. We introduce the draw-down Parisian ruin time and solve the corresponding two-sided exit time via excursion theory. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Wenyuan Wang , Xiaowen Zhou

In the extended gambler's ruin problem we can move one step forward or backward (classical gambler's ruin problem), we can stay where we are for a time unit (delayed action) or there can be absorption in the current state (game is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Theo van Uem

This paper investigates the Parisian ruin probability for processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptotics as the ruin boundary tends to infinity and extend the previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Pavel Ievlev

We analyze the general L\'{e}vy insurance risk process for L\'{e}vy measures in the convolution equivalence class $\mathcal{S}^{(\alpha)}$, $\alpha>0$, via a new kind of path decomposition. This yields a very general functional limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller

As corporates and governments become more digital, they become vulnerable to various forms of cyber attack. Cyber insurance products have been used as risk management tools, yet their pricing does not reflect actual risk, including that of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-10 Jiwook Jang , Rosy Oh

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis

A quadratic discrete time probabilistic model, for optimal portfolio selection in (re-)insurance is studied. For positive values of underwriting levels, the expected value of the accumulated result is optimized, under constraints on its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erik Taflin

In this work, we consider extensions of the dual risk model with proportional gains by introducing a dependence structure between gain sizes and gain interrarrival times. Among others, we further consider the case where the proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

Recent studies have demonstrated an interesting connection between the asymptotic behavior at ruin of a L\'evy insurance risk process under the Cram\'er-Lundberg and convolution equivalent conditions. For example, the limiting distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Philip S. Griffin

One possible way of risk management for an insurance company is to develop an early and appropriate alarm system before the possible ruin. The ruin is defined through the status of the aggregate risk process, which in turn is determined by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-30 Shubhabrata Das , Marie Kratz

This paper stidies the first passage times to constant boundaries for mixed-exponential jump diffusion processes. Explicit solutions of the Laplace transforms of the distribution of the first passage times, the joint distribution of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen , Zhaojun Zong , Ying Shen