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Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

Random walks are one of the best investigated dynamical processes on graphs. A particularly fascinating phenomenon is the scaling relationship of fluctuations $\sigma $ with the average flux $\langle f \rangle $. Here we analyze how network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-28 Kosmas Kosmidis , Moritz Beber , Marc-Thorsten Hütt

The transient fluctuation of the prosperity of firms in a network economy is investigated with an abstract stochastic model. The model describes the profit which firms make when they sell materials to a firm which produces a product and the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-19 Yoshiharu Maeno

We model financial transactions as random walks on activity-driven temporal networks. By enforcing fund conservation, our framework analytically derives heavy-tailed distributions for the stationary balances and transaction sizes.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-25 Carolina E. Mattsson , Claudio Cellerini , Jaume Ojer , Michele Starnini

This paper is a review dealing with the study of large size random recurrent neural networks. The connection weights are selected according to a probability law and it is possible to predict the network dynamics at a macroscopic scale using…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-11-10 M. Samuelides , B. Cessac

This paper introduces forward-looking measures of the network connectedness of fears in the financial system, arising due to the good and bad beliefs of market participants about uncertainty that spreads unequally across a network of banks.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Jozef Barunik , Mattia Bevilacqua , Radu Tunaru

A crucial challenge in network theory is the study of the robustness of a network after facing a sequence of failures. In this work, we propose a dynamical definition of network's robustness based on Information Theory, that considers…

In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

Cascading failures and epidemic dynamics, as two successful application realms of network science, are usually investigated separately. How do they affect each other is still one open, interesting problem. In this letter, we couple both…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Dawei Zhao , Zhen Wang , Gaoxi Xiao , Bo Gao , Lianhai Wang

The power of networks manifests itself in a highly non-linear amplification of a number of effects, and their weakness - in propagation of cascading failures. The potential systemic risk effects can be either exacerbated or mitigated,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Dmitry Zinoviev , Hamid Benbrahim , Greta Meszoely , Dan Stefanescu

We analyze cascades of defaults in an interbank loan market. The novel feature of this study is that the network structure and the size distribution of banks are derived from empirical data. We find that the ability of a defaulted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-21 Fariba Karimi , Matthias Raddant

Analytical description of propagation phenomena on random networks has flourished in recent years, yet more complex systems have mainly been studied through numerical means. In this paper, a mean-field description is used to coherently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-08 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Pierre-André Noël , Vincent Marceau , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

How do networks of relationships evolve over time? We analyse a dataset tracking the social interactions of 900 individuals over four years. Despite continuous shifts in individual relationships, the macroscopic structural properties of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-04 Miguel A. González-Casado , Andreia Sofia Teixeira , Angel Sánchez

The instability of the financial system as experienced in recent years and in previous periods is often linked to credit defaults, i.e., to the failure of obligors to make promised payments. Given the large number of credit contracts, this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

The work presented in this thesis concerns different aspects of dynamical processes on networks. The first subject considered is the theoretical modeling of exploration processes of complex networks, such as the ``traceroute'' process used…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Luca Dall'Asta

In this paper, we explore the reduction of functionality in a complex system as a consequence of cumulative random damage and imperfect reparation, a phenomenon modeled as a dynamical process on networks. We analyze the global…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-07 L. K. Eraso-Hernandez , A. P. Riascos , T. M. Michelitsch , J. Wang-Michelitsch

We undertake a fundamental study of network equilibria modeled as solutions of fixed point equations for monotone linear functions with saturation nonlinearities. The considered model extends one originally proposed to study systemic risk…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Leonardo Massai , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

There is empirical evidence from a range of disciplines that as the connectivity of a network increases, we observe an increase in the average fitness of the system. But at the same time, there is an increase in the proportion of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-11 Paul Ormerod , Rich Colbaugh

We study the effects of animal social networks with a weighted pattern of interactions on the flocking transition exhibited by models of self-organized collective motion. Considering a model representing dynamics on a one-dimensional…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-19 Jaume Ojer , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We study the difference between the level of systemic risk that is empirically measured on an interbank network and the risk that can be deduced from the balance sheets composition of the participating banks. Using generalised DebtRank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Alessandro Ferracci , Giulio Cimini