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Bayesian statistical models allow us to formalise our knowledge about the world and reason about our uncertainty, but there is a need for better procedures to accurately encode its complexity. One way to do so is through compositional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-01 Maria Lomeli

Studies that collect multi-outcome data such as tobacco and alcohol use are becoming increasingly common. In principle, multi-outcomes studies investigate the correlations between outcomes, including, causal links and/or joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-03 George G. Vega Yon , Mary Jo Pugh , Thomas W. Valente

We describe a procedure to introduce general dependence structures on a set of Dirichlet processes. Dependence can be in one direction to define a time series or in two directions to define spatial dependencies. More directions can also be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Despite major methodological developments, Bayesian inference for Gaussian graphical models remains challenging in high dimension due to the tremendous size of the model space. This article proposes a method to infer the marginal and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Sylvia Richardson

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generating many different kinds of data, including images, text, and videos. Despite their success, there has been limited research on how the underlying diffusion process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Alex M. Tseng , Nathaniel Diamant , Tommaso Biancalani , Gabriele Scalia

Methods are developed for eliciting a Dirichlet prior based upon bounds on the individual probabilities that hold with virtual certainty. This approach to selecting a prior is applied to a contingency table problem where it is demonstrated…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-10 Michael Evans , Irwin Guttman , Peiying Li

A novel sequential inferential method for Bayesian dynamic generalised linear models is presented, addressing both univariate and multivariate $k$-parametric exponential families. It efficiently handles diverse responses, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Mariane Branco Alves , Helio S. Migon , Silvaneo V. Santos , Raíra Marotta

This paper considers the topic of finding prior distributions when a major component of the statistical model depends on a nonlinear function. Using results on how to construct uniform distributions in general metric spaces, we propose a…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-09 Björn Bornkamp

Discrete random structures are important tools in Bayesian nonparametrics and the resulting models have proven effective in density estimation, clustering, topic modeling and prediction, among others. In this paper, we consider nested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Federico Camerlenghi , David B. Dunson , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Abel Rodríguez

Global variational approximation methods in graphical models allow efficient approximate inference of complex posterior distributions by using a simpler model. The choice of the approximating model determines a tradeoff between the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman

In this paper we study a new class of statistical models for contingency tables. We define this class of models through a subset of the binomial equations of the classical independence model. We use some notions from Algebraic Statistics to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-29 Enrico Carlini , Fabio Rapallo

Discrete state spaces represent a major computational challenge to statistical inference, since the computation of normalisation constants requires summation over large or possibly infinite sets, which can be impractical. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

Probabilistic neural networks are typically modeled with independent weight priors, which do not capture weight correlations in the prior and do not provide a parsimonious interface to express properties in function space. A desirable class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-12 Theofanis Karaletsos , Thang D. Bui

In clinical trials, hypotheses are frequently organized into hierarchically ordered families, requiring specialized testing strategies that account for these structured relationships. Existing gatekeeping methods-including serial, parallel,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Zhiying Qiu , Li Yu , Wenge Guo

We develop a Bayesian approach for selecting the model which is the most supported by the data within a class of marginal models for categorical variables formulated through equality and/or inequality constraints on generalised logits…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-21 Francesco Bartolucci , Luisa Scaccia , Alessio Farcomeni

We propose a two-component mixture of a noninformative (diffuse) and an informative prior distribution, weighted through the data in such a way to prefer the first component if a prior-data conflict arises. The data-driven approach for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 Leonardo Egidi , Francesco Pauli , Nicola Torelli

Noninformative priors constructed for estimation purposes are usually not appropriate for model selection and testing. The methodology of integral priors was developed to get prior distributions for Bayesian model selection when comparing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Diego Salmerón , Juan Antonio Cano , Christian P. Robert

Probabilistic finite mixture models are widely used for unsupervised clustering. These models can often be improved by adapting them to the topology of the data. For instance, in order to classify spatially adjacent data points similarly,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jonathan Vacher , Claire Launay , Ruben Coen-Cagli

We propose an objective Bayesian approach to the selection of covariates and their penalised splines transformations in generalised additive models. Specification of a reasonable default prior for the model parameters and combination with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-21 Daniel Sabanés Bové , Leonhard Held , Göran Kauermann

We present a hierarchical Bayesian learning approach to infer jointly sparse parameter vectors from multiple measurement vectors. Our model uses separate conditionally Gaussian priors for each parameter vector and common gamma-distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-27 Jan Glaubitz , Anne Gelb