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A general continuous-state branching processes in random environment (CBRE-process) is defined as the strong solution of a stochastic integral equation. The environment is determined by a L\'evy process with no jump less than $-1$. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Hui He , Zenghu Li , Wei Xu

Clinical risk prediction models are regularly updated as new data, often with additional covariates, become available. We propose CARE (Convex Aggregation of relative Risk Estimators) as a general approach for combining existing "external"…

This paper is concerned with a natural variant of the contact process modeling the spread of knowledge on the integer lattice. Each site is characterized by its knowledge, measured by a real number ranging from 0 = ignorant to 1 =…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer , Hyunsik Yun

We consider a general class of contact processes on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with potentially long-range interactions. By adapting well established renormalization arguments to the long-range setting we extend by now classical results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Stein Andreas Bethuelsen , Frank Namugera

Spreading from a seed is studied by Monte Carlo simulation on a square lattice with two types of sites affecting the rates of birth and death. These systems exhibit a critical transition between survival and extinction. For time- dependent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Gyorgy Szabo , Hajnalka Gergely , Beata Oborny

We consider branching Brownian motion on the real line with absorption at zero, in which particles move according to independent Brownian motions with the critical drift of $-\sqrt{2}$. Kesten (1978) showed that almost surely this process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Jason Schweinsberg

For a family of random intermittent dynamical systems with a superattracting fixed point we prove that a phase transition occurs between the existence of an absolutely continuous invariant probability measure and infinite measure depending…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Charlene Kalle , Benthen Zeegers

We consider the contact process with dormancy, where wake-up times follow a renewal process. Without infection between dormant individuals, we show that the process under certain conditions grows at most logarithmically. On the other hand,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Noemi Kurt , Michel Reitmeier , András Tóbiás

This article is devoted to the analysis of a particle system model for epidemics among a finite population with susceptible, infective and removed individuals (SIR). The infection mechanism depends on the relative distance between…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Monia Capanna

For the directed polymer in a random environment (DPRE), two critical inverse-temperatures can be defined. The first one, $\beta_c$, separates the strong disorder regime (in which the normalized partition function $W^{\beta}_n$ tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Stefan Junk , Hubert Lacoin

We study branching processes in an i.i.d. random environment, where the associated random walk is of the oscillating type. This class of processes generalizes the classical notion of criticality. The main properties of such branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. I. Afanasyev , J. Geiger , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

Inspired by dengue and yellow fever epidemics, we investigated the contact process (CP) in a multiscale network constituted by one-dimensional chains connected through a Barab\'asi-Albert scale-free network. In addition to the CP dynamics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-01-07 Silvio C. Ferreira , Marcelo M. Martins

We consider the contact process near an extended surface defect, where the local control parameter deviates from the bulk one by an amount of $\lambda(l)-\lambda(\infty) = A l^{-s}$, $l$ being the distance from the surface. We concentrate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-12 R. Juhász , F. Iglói

We have studied the critical properties of the contact process on a square lattice with quenched site dilution by Monte Carlo simulations. This was achieved by generating in advance the percolating cluster, through the use of an appropriate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-05-24 Alexander H. O. Wada , Mário J. de Oliveira

We study critical spreading dynamics in the two-dimensional contact process (CP) with quenched disorder in the form of random dilution. In the pure model, spreading from a single particle at the critical point $\lambda_c$ is characterized…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Adriana G. Moreira , Ronald Dickman

Given a weighted graph, we introduce a partition of its vertex set such that the distance between any two clusters is bounded from below by a power of the minimum weight of both clusters. This partition is obtained by recursively merging…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Laurent Ménard , Arvind Singh

Given a discrete spatial structure $X$, we define continuous-time branching processes that model a population breeding and dying on $X$. These processes are usually called branching random walks. They are characterized by breeding rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

We study two one-dimensional variants of the contact process: the contact-and-barrier process, where the population evolves in a region delimited by a randomly moving barrier, and the multitype contact process, in which two species compete…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Isabella Alvarenga , Daniel Valesin

Let $T$ be the extinction moment of a critical branching process $Z=(Z_{n},n\geq 0) $ in a random environment specified by iid probability generating functions. We study the asymptotic behavior of the probability of extinction of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-08 V. A. Vatutin V. Wachtel

This paper studies birth and death processes in interactive random environments where the birth and death rates and the dynamics of the state of the environment are dependent on each other. Two models of a random environment are considered:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Guodong Pang , Andrey Sarantsev , Yuri Suhov
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